**No** at 92.5% reflects the U.S. Department of Justice’s repeated assessments that document releases under the Epstein Files Transparency Act have not produced evidence sufficient for new federal or state charges. Officials, including Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche, stated after the January 2026 dump of millions of pages, photos, and videos that troubling correspondence and images do not establish prosecutable cases against additional parties. Internal 2019 prosecution memos released in the disclosures already weighed potential co-conspirator liability and reached similar conclusions, with Ghislaine Maxwell remaining the only associate convicted. As of early September 2026, no indictments have been announced that cite the post-December 2025 materials as their basis, consistent with the department’s position that its review found no predicate for further action. Ongoing civil litigation and congressional scrutiny continue, but these have not altered the criminal charging outlook ahead of the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated8% chance
$138,149 Vol.
$138,149 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
8% chance
$138,149 Vol.
$138,149 Vol.
Dec 30, 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No** at 92.5% reflects the U.S. Department of Justice’s repeated assessments that document releases under the Epstein Files Transparency Act have not produced evidence sufficient for new federal or state charges. Officials, including Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche, stated after the January 2026 dump of millions of pages, photos, and videos that troubling correspondence and images do not establish prosecutable cases against additional parties. Internal 2019 prosecution memos released in the disclosures already weighed potential co-conspirator liability and reached similar conclusions, with Ghislaine Maxwell remaining the only associate convicted. As of early September 2026, no indictments have been announced that cite the post-December 2025 materials as their basis, consistent with the department’s position that its review found no predicate for further action. Ongoing civil litigation and congressional scrutiny continue, but these have not altered the criminal charging outlook ahead of the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Market Opened: Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ET
Volume
$138,149End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.**No** at 92.5% reflects the U.S. Department of Justice’s repeated assessments that document releases under the Epstein Files Transparency Act have not produced evidence sufficient for new federal or state charges. Officials, including Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche, stated after the January 2026 dump of millions of pages, photos, and videos that troubling correspondence and images do not establish prosecutable cases against additional parties. Internal 2019 prosecution memos released in the disclosures already weighed potential co-conspirator liability and reached similar conclusions, with Ghislaine Maxwell remaining the only associate convicted. As of early September 2026, no indictments have been announced that cite the post-December 2025 materials as their basis, consistent with the department’s position that its review found no predicate for further action. Ongoing civil litigation and congressional scrutiny continue, but these have not altered the criminal charging outlook ahead of the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if, by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, any Federal or State jurisdiction of the United States formally charges or otherwise announces a criminal indictment of any individual, and the cause of that charge or indictment is attributed to information contained in files related to Jeffrey Epstein released by the federal government on or after December 19, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
A qualifying charge or indictment must be caused by information included in Epstein-related files released on or after December 19, 2025. The cause of the charge or indictment may be established through official charging documents, official information from law enforcement authorities, relevant legal entities, or the US federal government, or through a clear consensus of credible reporting attributing the charge/indictment to information contained in those released files. Charges or indictments driven by information that was publicly known before December 19, 2025, or by reasons unrelated to the content of the released Epstein-related files, will not qualify.
For the purposes of this market the District of Columbia and any county, municipality, or other subdivision of a State shall be included within the definition of a State.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Volume
$138,149End Date
Dec 31, 2026Market Opened
Feb 2, 2026, 3:00 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**No** at 92.5% reflects the U.S. Department of Justice’s repeated assessments that document releases under the Epstein Files Transparency Act have not produced evidence sufficient for new federal or state charges. Officials, including Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche, stated after the January 2026 dump of millions of pages, photos, and videos that troubling correspondence and images do not establish prosecutable cases against additional parties. Internal 2019 prosecution memos released in the disclosures already weighed potential co-conspirator liability and reached similar conclusions, with Ghislaine Maxwell remaining the only associate convicted. As of early September 2026, no indictments have been announced that cite the post-December 2025 materials as their basis, consistent with the department’s position that its review found no predicate for further action. Ongoing civil litigation and congressional scrutiny continue, but these have not altered the criminal charging outlook ahead of the market’s December 31, 2026 resolution.
Experimental AI-generated summary referencing Polymarket data. This is not trading advice and plays no role in how this market resolves. · Updated
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