England enters Group L as the clear favorite, with traders assigning it a 69.5% implied probability of topping the standings, driven by its deeper squad depth and recent selection under Thomas Tuchel that features established stars alongside emerging talent ahead of the June 17 opener against Croatia. Croatia holds the next-strongest position at 21.5% on the back of an unbeaten qualifying campaign and a battle-tested core including Luka Modrić, giving it realistic chances of advancing as runners-up in a group where historical head-to-head results and European pedigree matter. Ghana and Panama trail at 6.6% and 2.3%, reflecting limited recent international momentum and challenging matchups against higher-ranked opposition in the expanded 48-team format.