In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus favors State Rep. Rhett Marques at 43.5% implied probability over former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl at 32%, reflecting Marques' momentum amid high undecided voters in recent polls. A PI Polling survey of 505 likely GOP primary voters (March 31-April 2) showed Carl at 23%, Marques at 19%, and 50% undecided, tightening from prior leads as Marques gained favorability with Sen. Katie Britt's endorsement and superior fundraising ($775,000 cash on hand vs. Carl's $308,000). Carl benefits from ALFA backing but faces geographic limits in support; a runoff looms if no majority emerges, with Joshua McKee and others trailing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourRhett Marques 55%
Jerry Carl 25%
Joshua McKee 8.3%
Austin Sidwell 5.9%
$38,514 Vol.
$38,514 Vol.
Rhett Marques
48%
Jerry Carl
37%
Joshua McKee
8%
Austin Sidwell
6%
James Richardson
5%
John Mills
2%
James Dees
1%
Rhett Marques 55%
Jerry Carl 25%
Joshua McKee 8.3%
Austin Sidwell 5.9%
$38,514 Vol.
$38,514 Vol.
Rhett Marques
48%
Jerry Carl
37%
Joshua McKee
8%
Austin Sidwell
6%
James Richardson
5%
John Mills
2%
James Dees
1%
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Marché ouvert : Mar 26, 2026, 4:19 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...In Alabama's 1st Congressional District Republican primary on May 19, trader consensus favors State Rep. Rhett Marques at 43.5% implied probability over former U.S. Rep. Jerry Carl at 32%, reflecting Marques' momentum amid high undecided voters in recent polls. A PI Polling survey of 505 likely GOP primary voters (March 31-April 2) showed Carl at 23%, Marques at 19%, and 50% undecided, tightening from prior leads as Marques gained favorability with Sen. Katie Britt's endorsement and superior fundraising ($775,000 cash on hand vs. Carl's $308,000). Carl benefits from ALFA backing but faces geographic limits in support; a runoff looms if no majority emerges, with Joshua McKee and others trailing.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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