Trader consensus on Polymarket has shifted dramatically since ABC shelved The Bachelorette Season 22 in late March amid resurfaced domestic violence footage involving lead Taylor Frankie Paul, cratering pre-cancellation frontrunner Doug Mason from over 90% to 6.2% amid spoiler skepticism and scandal fallout. Clayton Johnson now leads at 16.3% implied probability, buoyed by his prior fame as Lana Del Rey's ex-fiancé, singer-songwriter appeal, and early post-cancelation statement positioning him as a relatable standout. Older professionals like Matt Carroll (5.6%, real estate broker) and Shane Parton gain traction for stability, while the wide-open field reflects uncertainty over whether shelved footage airs, re-edits, or resolves via leaks, with no episodes broadcast and high volatility ahead of potential franchise updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourGagnant de la saison 22 de Bachelorette
Gagnant de la saison 22 de Bachelorette
Clayton Johnson 15.8%
Doug Mason 6.2%
Matt Carroll 5.4%
Shane Parton 4.3%
$597,093 Vol.
$597,093 Vol.
Clayton Johnson
16%
Doug Mason
6%
Matt Carroll
5%
Shane Parton
4%
Lew Evans
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Malik Evans
1%
Richard Van De Water
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Rod Strozier
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Christopher Wood
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Johnnie LaRossa
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
Clayton Johnson 15.8%
Doug Mason 6.2%
Matt Carroll 5.4%
Shane Parton 4.3%
$597,093 Vol.
$597,093 Vol.
Clayton Johnson
16%
Doug Mason
6%
Matt Carroll
5%
Shane Parton
4%
Lew Evans
1%
Michael Baba
1%
Malik Evans
1%
Richard Van De Water
1%
Ronn Perez
1%
Brandon Perce
1%
Rod Strozier
1%
Casey Hux
1%
Josh Harward
1%
Marcus Richardson
1%
Christopher Wood
1%
Kevin Montero
1%
Brad Ledford
<1%
Aaron Kahng
<1%
Conrad Ukropina
<1%
Trenten Merrill
<1%
Johnnie LaRossa
<1%
Mike Turitto
<1%
The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Marché ouvert : Feb 24, 2026, 6:49 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The winner is defined as the contestant who receives the final rose from the Bachelorette. Any changes in relationship status after the final rose ceremony including the "After the Final Rose" segment will not be considered.
If no rose is given, or the finale ends without a final rose ceremony, this market will resolve to "Other".
If the final episode of the bachelorette is not publicly available by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The official resolution source will be the finale episode of The Bachelorette Season 22.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket has shifted dramatically since ABC shelved The Bachelorette Season 22 in late March amid resurfaced domestic violence footage involving lead Taylor Frankie Paul, cratering pre-cancellation frontrunner Doug Mason from over 90% to 6.2% amid spoiler skepticism and scandal fallout. Clayton Johnson now leads at 16.3% implied probability, buoyed by his prior fame as Lana Del Rey's ex-fiancé, singer-songwriter appeal, and early post-cancelation statement positioning him as a relatable standout. Older professionals like Matt Carroll (5.6%, real estate broker) and Shane Parton gain traction for stability, while the wide-open field reflects uncertainty over whether shelved footage airs, re-edits, or resolves via leaks, with no episodes broadcast and high volatility ahead of potential franchise updates.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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