Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 220-279 X posts by Elon Musk next week, with 240-259 tweets leading at 26.5% implied probability, mirroring his consistent recent cadence of 34-38 posts per day across resolved markets like April 3-10 (240-259) and March 31-April 7 (268 total). This reflects steady engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX developments, and political commentary, without major spikes or lulls in the past 30 days. Competitive dynamics hinge on potential volatility from viral moments or pre-earnings buzz ahead of Tesla's April 22 Q1 report, which could push toward 260+ if controversy erupts, or dip below 240 during quieter periods—traders weigh historical patterns against these swing factors for edge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour240-259 27%
260-279 21%
220-239 18%
280-299 15%
NOUVEAU
$449,441 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$449,441 Vol.
21 avr. 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
<1%
160-179
1%
180-199
2%
200-219
6%
220-239
18%
240-259
27%
260-279
21%
280-299
15%
300-319
6%
320-339
3%
340-359
2%
360-379
1%
380-399
1%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
240-259 27%
260-279 21%
220-239 18%
280-299 15%
NOUVEAU
$449,441 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$449,441 Vol.
21 avr. 2026
<20
$110,893 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$19,863 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$20,847 Vol.
<1%
60-79
$18,863 Vol.
<1%
80-99
$20,909 Vol.
<1%
100-119
$30,897 Vol.
<1%
120-139
$29,243 Vol.
<1%
140-159
$10,228 Vol.
<1%
160-179
$9,353 Vol.
1%
180-199
$3,897 Vol.
2%
200-219
$4,236 Vol.
6%
220-239
$7,726 Vol.
18%
240-259
$17,075 Vol.
27%
260-279
$8,892 Vol.
21%
280-299
$5,164 Vol.
15%
300-319
$3,142 Vol.
6%
320-339
$4,741 Vol.
3%
340-359
$3,965 Vol.
2%
360-379
$5,027 Vol.
1%
380-399
$3,588 Vol.
1%
400-419
$5,621 Vol.
1%
420-439
$6,492 Vol.
1%
440-459
$3,623 Vol.
1%
460-479
$18,148 Vol.
1%
480-499
$7,571 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$6,704 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$7,341 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$8,045 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$12,304 Vol.
<1%
580+
$35,085 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 220-279 X posts by Elon Musk next week, with 240-259 tweets leading at 26.5% implied probability, mirroring his consistent recent cadence of 34-38 posts per day across resolved markets like April 3-10 (240-259) and March 31-April 7 (268 total). This reflects steady engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX developments, and political commentary, without major spikes or lulls in the past 30 days. Competitive dynamics hinge on potential volatility from viral moments or pre-earnings buzz ahead of Tesla's April 22 Q1 report, which could push toward 260+ if controversy erupts, or dip below 240 during quieter periods—traders weigh historical patterns against these swing factors for edge.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$449,441Date de fin
21 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 220-279 X posts by Elon Musk next week, with 240-259 tweets leading at 26.5% implied probability, mirroring his consistent recent cadence of 34-38 posts per day across resolved markets like April 3-10 (240-259) and March 31-April 7 (268 total). This reflects steady engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX developments, and political commentary, without major spikes or lulls in the past 30 days. Competitive dynamics hinge on potential volatility from viral moments or pre-earnings buzz ahead of Tesla's April 22 Q1 report, which could push toward 260+ if controversy erupts, or dip below 240 during quieter periods—traders weigh historical patterns against these swing factors for edge.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 14 12:00 PM ET to April 21, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$449,441Date de fin
21 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 220-279 X posts by Elon Musk next week, with 240-259 tweets leading at 26.5% implied probability, mirroring his consistent recent cadence of 34-38 posts per day across resolved markets like April 3-10 (240-259) and March 31-April 7 (268 total). This reflects steady engagement on Tesla updates, SpaceX developments, and political commentary, without major spikes or lulls in the past 30 days. Competitive dynamics hinge on potential volatility from viral moments or pre-earnings buzz ahead of Tesla's April 22 Q1 report, which could push toward 260+ if controversy erupts, or dip below 240 during quieter periods—traders weigh historical patterns against these swing factors for edge.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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