President Trump's recent Truth Social posts attacking prominent MAGA media figures like Tucker Carlson, Alex Jones, Candace Owens, and Megyn Kelly—labeling them "losers," "low IQ," and "stupid" over their criticism of his Iran policy—have reinforced trader consensus on the likelihood of further public insults. This follows similar recent barbs at a Fox News host as a "real loser" and "RINO loser" Republicans blocking redistricting, amid escalating tensions from Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure and NATO disputes. His consistent pattern of mocking critics via social media and speeches, especially during foreign policy debates, drives high implied probabilities, though a lull in posting or focus on diplomacy could shift sentiment ahead of the market's April 17 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourNOUVEAU
11 avr. 2026
April 11
57%
April 12
58%
April 13
55%
April 14
55%
April 15
59%
April 16
59%
April 17
61%
April 18
61%
April 19
59%
April 20
61%
April 21
59%
April 22
60%
April 23
74%
April 24
62%
April 25
59%
April 26
60%
April 27
60%
April 28
60%
April 29
60%
April 30
61%
$6,451 Vol.
April 11
$158 Vol.
57%
April 12
$25 Vol.
58%
April 13
$46 Vol.
55%
April 14
$69 Vol.
55%
April 15
$2,539 Vol.
59%
April 16
$41 Vol.
59%
April 17
$39 Vol.
61%
April 18
$6 Vol.
61%
April 19
$6 Vol.
59%
April 20
$471 Vol.
61%
April 21
$6 Vol.
59%
April 22
$6 Vol.
60%
April 23
$326 Vol.
74%
April 24
$2,712 Vol.
62%
April 25
$2 Vol.
59%
April 26
$0 Vol.
60%
April 27
$0 Vol.
60%
April 28
$0 Vol.
60%
April 29
$0 Vol.
60%
April 30
$0 Vol.
61%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent Truth Social posts attacking prominent MAGA media figures like Tucker Carlson, Alex Jones, Candace Owens, and Megyn Kelly—labeling them "losers," "low IQ," and "stupid" over their criticism of his Iran policy—have reinforced trader consensus on the likelihood of further public insults. This follows similar recent barbs at a Fox News host as a "real loser" and "RINO loser" Republicans blocking redistricting, amid escalating tensions from Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure and NATO disputes. His consistent pattern of mocking critics via social media and speeches, especially during foreign policy debates, drives high implied probabilities, though a lull in posting or focus on diplomacy could shift sentiment ahead of the market's April 17 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ET
Volume
$6,451Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.President Trump's recent Truth Social posts attacking prominent MAGA media figures like Tucker Carlson, Alex Jones, Candace Owens, and Megyn Kelly—labeling them "losers," "low IQ," and "stupid" over their criticism of his Iran policy—have reinforced trader consensus on the likelihood of further public insults. This follows similar recent barbs at a Fox News host as a "real loser" and "RINO loser" Republicans blocking redistricting, amid escalating tensions from Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure and NATO disputes. His consistent pattern of mocking critics via social media and speeches, especially during foreign policy debates, drives high implied probabilities, though a lull in posting or focus on diplomacy could shift sentiment ahead of the market's April 17 resolution.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults, mocks, or attacks any non-fictional individual personally or professionally in a clearly negative manner on the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
This includes calling the individual weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure, using an insulting nickname, using other derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a derogatory personal way (e.g., “He/She isn’t smart”). Negative forms used in reference to the individual's professional actions, policies, or decisions (e.g., “He/She isn’t being smart about this policy”) will not count. Policy disagreements stated without disparaging language will not count.
A direct reference will qualify even if the individual is not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject.
Any written, verbal, or recorded public statement by Trump qualifies.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$6,451Date de fin
30 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 10, 2026, 4:58 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...President Trump's recent Truth Social posts attacking prominent MAGA media figures like Tucker Carlson, Alex Jones, Candace Owens, and Megyn Kelly—labeling them "losers," "low IQ," and "stupid" over their criticism of his Iran policy—have reinforced trader consensus on the likelihood of further public insults. This follows similar recent barbs at a Fox News host as a "real loser" and "RINO loser" Republicans blocking redistricting, amid escalating tensions from Iran's Strait of Hormuz closure and NATO disputes. His consistent pattern of mocking critics via social media and speeches, especially during foreign policy debates, drives high implied probabilities, though a lull in posting or focus on diplomacy could shift sentiment ahead of the market's April 17 resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes