President Donald Trump's sustained high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 18-19 posts daily in 2025 and recently hitting 75 posts over April 7-10 amid Iran escalations—including ultimatums, Strait of Hormuz threats, and pilot rescue claims—has shaped trader consensus, yet de-escalation via announced ceasefires and no major scheduled events for April 14-21 position 100-119 posts (44.5%) and 80-99 (29.5%) as frontrunners. This reflects skin-in-the-game expectations of normalization from recent spikes like a 160-post overnight frenzy around April 8, aligning with historical patterns during quieter periods absent diplomatic crises or campaign pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour100-119 40%
80-99 30%
120-139 23%
140-159 20%
NOUVEAU
$14,138 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,138 Vol.
21 avr. 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
1%
60-79
16%
80-99
30%
100-119
40%
120-139
23%
140-159
20%
160-179
3%
180-199
2%
200+
17%
100-119 40%
80-99 30%
120-139 23%
140-159 20%
NOUVEAU
$14,138 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$14,138 Vol.
21 avr. 2026
<20
$12,113 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$654 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$1,043 Vol.
1%
60-79
$162 Vol.
16%
80-99
$50 Vol.
30%
100-119
$0 Vol.
40%
120-139
$0 Vol.
23%
140-159
$0 Vol.
20%
160-179
$23 Vol.
3%
180-199
$54 Vol.
2%
200+
$39 Vol.
17%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's sustained high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 18-19 posts daily in 2025 and recently hitting 75 posts over April 7-10 amid Iran escalations—including ultimatums, Strait of Hormuz threats, and pilot rescue claims—has shaped trader consensus, yet de-escalation via announced ceasefires and no major scheduled events for April 14-21 position 100-119 posts (44.5%) and 80-99 (29.5%) as frontrunners. This reflects skin-in-the-game expectations of normalization from recent spikes like a 160-post overnight frenzy around April 8, aligning with historical patterns during quieter periods absent diplomatic crises or campaign pressures.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ET
Volume
$14,138Date de fin
21 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.President Donald Trump's sustained high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 18-19 posts daily in 2025 and recently hitting 75 posts over April 7-10 amid Iran escalations—including ultimatums, Strait of Hormuz threats, and pilot rescue claims—has shaped trader consensus, yet de-escalation via announced ceasefires and no major scheduled events for April 14-21 position 100-119 posts (44.5%) and 80-99 (29.5%) as frontrunners. This reflects skin-in-the-game expectations of normalization from recent spikes like a 160-post overnight frenzy around April 8, aligning with historical patterns during quieter periods absent diplomatic crises or campaign pressures.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 14, 12:00 PM ET and April 21, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$14,138Date de fin
21 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 11, 2026, 12:01 AM ETSource de résolution
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...President Donald Trump's sustained high-volume Truth Social activity, averaging 18-19 posts daily in 2025 and recently hitting 75 posts over April 7-10 amid Iran escalations—including ultimatums, Strait of Hormuz threats, and pilot rescue claims—has shaped trader consensus, yet de-escalation via announced ceasefires and no major scheduled events for April 14-21 position 100-119 posts (44.5%) and 80-99 (29.5%) as frontrunners. This reflects skin-in-the-game expectations of normalization from recent spikes like a 160-post overnight frenzy around April 8, aligning with historical patterns during quieter periods absent diplomatic crises or campaign pressures.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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