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Politique·Trump

Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

Market icon
Politique·Trump

Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30?

20% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
20% chance
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Tucker Carlson's recent public denials of presidential ambitions have solidified trader consensus at 80% "No" for an announcement by June 30, as he stated in early April 2026 that he "couldn't get elected to an empty congressional seat in an uncontested election in North Dakota." Despite speculation from his high-profile criticism of the Trump administration's Iran policy—highlighted in a March 19 Economist interview and hyperbolic March 14 remarks joking about running solely to debate Ted Cruz—Carlson shows no campaign signals, prioritizing his media platform for America First advocacy. Historical patterns of past rejections and focus on Tucker Carlson Network reinforce low odds, with no primaries, filings, or endorsements emerging ahead of the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$2
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.Tucker Carlson's recent public denials of presidential ambitions have solidified trader consensus at 80% "No" for an announcement by June 30, as he stated in early April 2026 that he "couldn't get elected to an empty congressional seat in an uncontested election in North Dakota." Despite speculation from his high-profile criticism of the Trump administration's Iran policy—highlighted in a March 19 Economist interview and hyperbolic March 14 remarks joking about running solely to debate Ted Cruz—Carlson shows no campaign signals, prioritizing his media platform for America First advocacy. Historical patterns of past rejections and focus on Tucker Carlson Network reinforce low odds, with no primaries, filings, or endorsements emerging ahead of the deadline.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.
Volume
$2
Date de fin
30 juin 2026
Marché ouvert
Apr 8, 2026, 6:05 PM ET

Resolver

0x65070BE91...
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tucker Carlson announces that he will run for any public office in the United States by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any public office refers to any elected government office in the United States, including at the federal, local, or state level. The primary resolution source for this market will be official announcements from Tucker Carlson; however, a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.

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Questions fréquentes

« Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30? » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket où les traders achètent et vendent des parts « Oui » ou « Non » selon qu'ils estiment que cet événement se produira ou non. La probabilité actuelle selon la communauté est de 20% pour « Yes ». Par exemple, si « Oui » est coté à 20¢, le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 20% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes changent en permanence à mesure que les traders réagissent aux nouveaux développements et informations. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30? » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Apr 8, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30? », choisissez simplement si vous pensez que la réponse est « Oui » ou « Non ». Chaque côté a un prix actuel qui reflète la probabilité implicite du marché. Entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si vous achetez des parts « Oui » et que le résultat se résout comme « Oui », chaque part rapporte $1. S'il se résout comme « Non », vos parts « Oui » rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts à tout moment avant la résolution pour sécuriser un gain ou limiter une perte.

La probabilité actuelle pour « Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30? » est de 20% pour « Yes ». Cela signifie que la communauté Polymarket estime actuellement qu'il y a une probabilité de 20% que cet événement se produise. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel sur la base de transactions réelles, fournissant un signal continuellement actualisé de ce que le marché attend.

Les règles de résolution de « Tucker Carlson announces a run for office by June 30? » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.