Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects President Donald Trump's established Truth Social posting rhythm, averaging 18 posts daily throughout 2025, yielding roughly 126 per week, though volumes fluctuate with news cycles. Recent U.S.-Iran tensions have spiked activity, with Trump issuing multiple ultimatums—including Easter threats to target infrastructure and a two-week attack suspension if the Strait of Hormuz reopens—driving elevated counts in early April. The tight contest between 100-119 (37%) and 80-99 (31.5%) stems from uncertainty over Iran's response to the April 8 deadline and potential de-escalation, which could curb outbursts, versus prolonged crisis prompting further announcements. Resolution awaits official post tallies from April 10-17.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour100-119 37%
80-99 32%
120-139 10%
60-79 9%
NOUVEAU
$22,425 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$22,425 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
2%
60-79
9%
80-99
32%
100-119
37%
120-139
10%
140-159
5%
160-179
2%
180-199
2%
200+
3%
100-119 37%
80-99 32%
120-139 10%
60-79 9%
NOUVEAU
$22,425 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$22,425 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
<20
$11,392 Vol.
<1%
20-39
$5,920 Vol.
<1%
40-59
$1,100 Vol.
2%
60-79
$569 Vol.
9%
80-99
$42 Vol.
32%
100-119
$148 Vol.
37%
120-139
$714 Vol.
10%
140-159
$255 Vol.
5%
160-179
$494 Vol.
2%
180-199
$242 Vol.
2%
200+
$1,548 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects President Donald Trump's established Truth Social posting rhythm, averaging 18 posts daily throughout 2025, yielding roughly 126 per week, though volumes fluctuate with news cycles. Recent U.S.-Iran tensions have spiked activity, with Trump issuing multiple ultimatums—including Easter threats to target infrastructure and a two-week attack suspension if the Strait of Hormuz reopens—driving elevated counts in early April. The tight contest between 100-119 (37%) and 80-99 (31.5%) stems from uncertainty over Iran's response to the April 8 deadline and potential de-escalation, which could curb outbursts, versus prolonged crisis prompting further announcements. Resolution awaits official post tallies from April 10-17.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:17 AM ET
Volume
$22,425Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:17 AM ETSource de résolution
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects President Donald Trump's established Truth Social posting rhythm, averaging 18 posts daily throughout 2025, yielding roughly 126 per week, though volumes fluctuate with news cycles. Recent U.S.-Iran tensions have spiked activity, with Trump issuing multiple ultimatums—including Easter threats to target infrastructure and a two-week attack suspension if the Strait of Hormuz reopens—driving elevated counts in early April. The tight contest between 100-119 (37%) and 80-99 (31.5%) stems from uncertainty over Iran's response to the April 8 deadline and potential de-escalation, which could curb outbursts, versus prolonged crisis prompting further announcements. Resolution awaits official post tallies from April 10-17.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Donald Trump (@realDonaldTrump), posts on Truth Social between April 10, 12:00 PM ET and April 17, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies which are recorded on the main feed will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
The resolution source for this market is the "Post Counter" figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, Truth Social itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$22,425Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:17 AM ETSource de résolution
https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrumpResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects President Donald Trump's established Truth Social posting rhythm, averaging 18 posts daily throughout 2025, yielding roughly 126 per week, though volumes fluctuate with news cycles. Recent U.S.-Iran tensions have spiked activity, with Trump issuing multiple ultimatums—including Easter threats to target infrastructure and a two-week attack suspension if the Strait of Hormuz reopens—driving elevated counts in early April. The tight contest between 100-119 (37%) and 80-99 (31.5%) stems from uncertainty over Iran's response to the April 8 deadline and potential de-escalation, which could curb outbursts, versus prolonged crisis prompting further announcements. Resolution awaits official post tallies from April 10-17.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket · Mis à jour
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