Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13 at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent rhythm of about 33 posts per day tracked in the overlapping April 9-11 market, where he tallied 66 total amid SpaceX updates and political jabs. The 40-64 range at 29.5% captures potential moderation seen in late March's 29/day average, while lower tiers reflect historical dips during focused company work. Today's Falcon 9 landing video and Artemis II crew splashdown reposts signal steady engagement, but no major catalysts like earnings or launches loom through April 13 to spike volume significantly—traders eye his unpredictable blend of tech triumphs and cultural commentary for any late surges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour65-89 52%
40-64 30%
90-114 16%
Moins de 40 2.1%
NOUVEAU
$212,623 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$212,623 Vol.
13 avr. 2026
Moins de 40
2%
40-64
30%
65-89
52%
90-114
16%
115-139
2%
140-164
<1%
165-189
<1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 52%
40-64 30%
90-114 16%
Moins de 40 2.1%
NOUVEAU
$212,623 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$212,623 Vol.
13 avr. 2026
Moins de 40
$21,735 Vol.
2%
40-64
$10,344 Vol.
30%
65-89
$13,621 Vol.
52%
90-114
$7,380 Vol.
16%
115-139
$14,998 Vol.
2%
140-164
$19,931 Vol.
<1%
165-189
$36,524 Vol.
<1%
190-214
$15,502 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$27,995 Vol.
<1%
240+
$46,895 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13 at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent rhythm of about 33 posts per day tracked in the overlapping April 9-11 market, where he tallied 66 total amid SpaceX updates and political jabs. The 40-64 range at 29.5% captures potential moderation seen in late March's 29/day average, while lower tiers reflect historical dips during focused company work. Today's Falcon 9 landing video and Artemis II crew splashdown reposts signal steady engagement, but no major catalysts like earnings or launches loom through April 13 to spike volume significantly—traders eye his unpredictable blend of tech triumphs and cultural commentary for any late surges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ET
Volume
$212,623Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13 at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent rhythm of about 33 posts per day tracked in the overlapping April 9-11 market, where he tallied 66 total amid SpaceX updates and political jabs. The 40-64 range at 29.5% captures potential moderation seen in late March's 29/day average, while lower tiers reflect historical dips during focused company work. Today's Falcon 9 landing video and Artemis II crew splashdown reposts signal steady engagement, but no major catalysts like earnings or launches loom through April 13 to spike volume significantly—traders eye his unpredictable blend of tech triumphs and cultural commentary for any late surges.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 11 12:00 PM ET to April 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$212,623Date de fin
13 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 9, 2026, 12:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors Elon Musk posting 65-89 times on X from April 11-13 at 49.5% implied probability, reflecting his recent rhythm of about 33 posts per day tracked in the overlapping April 9-11 market, where he tallied 66 total amid SpaceX updates and political jabs. The 40-64 range at 29.5% captures potential moderation seen in late March's 29/day average, while lower tiers reflect historical dips during focused company work. Today's Falcon 9 landing video and Artemis II crew splashdown reposts signal steady engagement, but no major catalysts like earnings or launches loom through April 13 to spike volume significantly—traders eye his unpredictable blend of tech triumphs and cultural commentary for any late surges.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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