Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for April 16–18 favors the 65–89 range at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting a sharp slowdown in his X posting frequency over the past 48 hours to just a handful of posts amid SpaceX Starship developments. This recent dip from his April 7–14 average of 43 daily posts—totaling 299—has shifted capital toward moderate bins like 40–64 (27%), tempering expectations of his typical high-volume engagement on politics, tech updates, and cultural debates. With no confirmed catalysts for a rebound, such as major announcements or viral controversies, traders anticipate sustained lower activity through the Thursday–Saturday window, though Grok AI benchmarks or Starlink news could spark a surge. Markets remain volatile as real-time social media metrics evolve rapidly.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour65-89 39%
40-64 27%
90-114 17%
115-139 9%
NOUVEAU
$66,675 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$66,675 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
Moins de 40
4%
40-64
27%
65-89
39%
90-114
17%
115-139
9%
140-164
2%
165-189
1%
190-214
<1%
215-239
<1%
240+
<1%
65-89 39%
40-64 27%
90-114 17%
115-139 9%
NOUVEAU
$66,675 Vol.
NOUVEAU
$66,675 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
Moins de 40
$13,895 Vol.
4%
40-64
$4,412 Vol.
27%
65-89
$2,996 Vol.
39%
90-114
$2,381 Vol.
17%
115-139
$3,756 Vol.
9%
140-164
$6,037 Vol.
2%
165-189
$7,419 Vol.
1%
190-214
$11,683 Vol.
<1%
215-239
$5,370 Vol.
<1%
240+
$9,025 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for April 16–18 favors the 65–89 range at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting a sharp slowdown in his X posting frequency over the past 48 hours to just a handful of posts amid SpaceX Starship developments. This recent dip from his April 7–14 average of 43 daily posts—totaling 299—has shifted capital toward moderate bins like 40–64 (27%), tempering expectations of his typical high-volume engagement on politics, tech updates, and cultural debates. With no confirmed catalysts for a rebound, such as major announcements or viral controversies, traders anticipate sustained lower activity through the Thursday–Saturday window, though Grok AI benchmarks or Starlink news could spark a surge. Markets remain volatile as real-time social media metrics evolve rapidly.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ET
Volume
$66,675Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for April 16–18 favors the 65–89 range at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting a sharp slowdown in his X posting frequency over the past 48 hours to just a handful of posts amid SpaceX Starship developments. This recent dip from his April 7–14 average of 43 daily posts—totaling 299—has shifted capital toward moderate bins like 40–64 (27%), tempering expectations of his typical high-volume engagement on politics, tech updates, and cultural debates. With no confirmed catalysts for a rebound, such as major announcements or viral controversies, traders anticipate sustained lower activity through the Thursday–Saturday window, though Grok AI benchmarks or Starlink news could spark a surge. Markets remain volatile as real-time social media metrics evolve rapidly.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 16 12:00 PM ET to April 18, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$66,675Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 13, 2026, 12:01 PM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket's Elon Musk tweet count market for April 16–18 favors the 65–89 range at 38.5% implied probability, reflecting a sharp slowdown in his X posting frequency over the past 48 hours to just a handful of posts amid SpaceX Starship developments. This recent dip from his April 7–14 average of 43 daily posts—totaling 299—has shifted capital toward moderate bins like 40–64 (27%), tempering expectations of his typical high-volume engagement on politics, tech updates, and cultural debates. With no confirmed catalysts for a rebound, such as major announcements or viral controversies, traders anticipate sustained lower activity through the Thursday–Saturday window, though Grok AI benchmarks or Starlink news could spark a surge. Markets remain volatile as real-time social media metrics evolve rapidly.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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