Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow 53% implied probability for no change in Banxico's 6.75% policy rate at the June meeting, edging out 45.5% for a decrease amid a split 3-2 Governing Board vote to cut 25 basis points on March 26 despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% in March—above the 3% target midpoint. Minutes released April 9 revealed rifts over persistent core inflation near 4.45% versus growth risks and peso stability around 17.25 USD/MXN, fostering uncertainty on easing pace. Key differentiators include upcoming May policy decision, April CPI data, and U.S. Federal Reserve signals, with low 29.5% odds for a hike reflecting dovish momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourBank of Mexico Decision in June
Bank of Mexico Decision in June
No change 51%
Increase 29%
Decrease 0
Decrease
51%
No change
51%
Increase
29%
No change 51%
Increase 29%
Decrease 0
Decrease
51%
No change
51%
Increase
29%
The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Marché ouvert : Mar 27, 2026, 4:41 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market is information released by the Bank of Mexico after its policy meeting scheduled for June 25, 2026, as listed on the official Bank of Mexico calendar: https://www.banxico.org.mx/viewers2/JSP/calendarioDifusion_es.jsp
This market may resolve as soon as the Bank of Mexico's statement for their June meeting with relevant data is issued. If no statement is released by the end date of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the "No change" bracket.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a narrow 53% implied probability for no change in Banxico's 6.75% policy rate at the June meeting, edging out 45.5% for a decrease amid a split 3-2 Governing Board vote to cut 25 basis points on March 26 despite headline inflation accelerating to 4.59% in March—above the 3% target midpoint. Minutes released April 9 revealed rifts over persistent core inflation near 4.45% versus growth risks and peso stability around 17.25 USD/MXN, fostering uncertainty on easing pace. Key differentiators include upcoming May policy decision, April CPI data, and U.S. Federal Reserve signals, with low 29.5% odds for a hike reflecting dovish momentum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Méfiez-vous des liens externes.
Questions fréquentes