Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 36th congressional district with over 60 percent of the vote, facing Republican Houston Brignano in the November general election. The Los Angeles-area seat features a substantial Democratic registration edge and has drawn solid or safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Lieu's established fundraising advantage and the absence of competitive public polling or significant Republican investment have reinforced trader assessments of the outcome. A national political shift, major candidate-specific development, or unusual turnout patterns could narrow the margin, though the district's baseline partisan composition and incumbency patterns make such shifts unlikely to alter the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-36 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-36 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$35,241 Vol.
$35,241 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
5%
$35,241 Vol.
$35,241 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$6,297 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$28,944 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 36th congressional district with over 60 percent of the vote, facing Republican Houston Brignano in the November general election. The Los Angeles-area seat features a substantial Democratic registration edge and has drawn solid or safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Lieu's established fundraising advantage and the absence of competitive public polling or significant Republican investment have reinforced trader assessments of the outcome. A national political shift, major candidate-specific development, or unusual turnout patterns could narrow the margin, though the district's baseline partisan composition and incumbency patterns make such shifts unlikely to alter the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$35,241Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 36th congressional district with over 60 percent of the vote, facing Republican Houston Brignano in the November general election. The Los Angeles-area seat features a substantial Democratic registration edge and has drawn solid or safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Lieu's established fundraising advantage and the absence of competitive public polling or significant Republican investment have reinforced trader assessments of the outcome. A national political shift, major candidate-specific development, or unusual turnout patterns could narrow the margin, though the district's baseline partisan composition and incumbency patterns make such shifts unlikely to alter the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-36 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$35,241Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Ted Lieu advanced from the June 2026 top-two primary in California's 36th congressional district with over 60 percent of the vote, facing Republican Houston Brignano in the November general election. The Los Angeles-area seat features a substantial Democratic registration edge and has drawn solid or safe Democratic ratings from forecasters including the Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Lieu's established fundraising advantage and the absence of competitive public polling or significant Republican investment have reinforced trader assessments of the outcome. A national political shift, major candidate-specific development, or unusual turnout patterns could narrow the margin, though the district's baseline partisan composition and incumbency patterns make such shifts unlikely to alter the result.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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