Hilda Solis holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 38th congressional district because the open seat created by redistricting features a strong Democratic partisan advantage, with roughly 45 percent registered Democrats compared to 24 percent Republicans. Solis advanced from the June primary with 47.6 percent of the vote over Republican Pedro Casas at 35.8 percent, backed by her experience as a former U.S. representative, Labor Secretary, and current Los Angeles County supervisor. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The general election on November 3 offers limited pathways for a Republican upset, such as unusually high turnout in the Orange County portions of the district or a major late-breaking development affecting Solis, though historical patterns and current indicators point to a wide margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourCA-38 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
CA-38 Vainqueur de l'élection à la Chambre
$63,872 Vol.
$63,872 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
95%
Parti républicain
1%
$63,872 Vol.
$63,872 Vol.
2 nov. 2026
Parti démocrate
$32,210 Vol.
95%
Parti républicain
$31,662 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 38th congressional district because the open seat created by redistricting features a strong Democratic partisan advantage, with roughly 45 percent registered Democrats compared to 24 percent Republicans. Solis advanced from the June primary with 47.6 percent of the vote over Republican Pedro Casas at 35.8 percent, backed by her experience as a former U.S. representative, Labor Secretary, and current Los Angeles County supervisor. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The general election on November 3 offers limited pathways for a Republican upset, such as unusually high turnout in the Orange County portions of the district or a major late-breaking development affecting Solis, though historical patterns and current indicators point to a wide margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Marché ouvert : Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$63,872Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Hilda Solis holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 38th congressional district because the open seat created by redistricting features a strong Democratic partisan advantage, with roughly 45 percent registered Democrats compared to 24 percent Republicans. Solis advanced from the June primary with 47.6 percent of the vote over Republican Pedro Casas at 35.8 percent, backed by her experience as a former U.S. representative, Labor Secretary, and current Los Angeles County supervisor. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The general election on November 3 offers limited pathways for a Republican upset, such as unusually high turnout in the Orange County portions of the district or a major late-breaking development affecting Solis, though historical patterns and current indicators point to a wide margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$63,872Date de fin
3 nov. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETRésolveur
0x2F5e3684c...Hilda Solis holds a commanding lead in trader consensus for California's 38th congressional district because the open seat created by redistricting features a strong Democratic partisan advantage, with roughly 45 percent registered Democrats compared to 24 percent Republicans. Solis advanced from the June primary with 47.6 percent of the vote over Republican Pedro Casas at 35.8 percent, backed by her experience as a former U.S. representative, Labor Secretary, and current Los Angeles County supervisor. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. The general election on November 3 offers limited pathways for a Republican upset, such as unusually high turnout in the Orange County portions of the district or a major late-breaking development affecting Solis, though historical patterns and current indicators point to a wide margin.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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