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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de la côte centrale
Politique·Maire

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de la côte centrale

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de la côte centrale
Politique·Maire

Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de la côte centrale

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Cheryl Fuller

Cheryl Fuller

$147 Vol.

62%

icon for Garry Carpenter

Garry Carpenter

$138 Vol.

39%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Cheryl Fuller holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the Central Coast Council mayoral election due to the absence of declared challengers ahead of the October vote. As incumbent, she confirmed her intention to seek a second term, with local reporting in mid-June highlighting that no other councillors had stepped forward to contest the position and that several were instead focusing on deputy mayor bids. Previous opponent Garry Carpenter, who ran against her in 2022, has indicated uncertainty about another candidacy amid other commitments. Traders appear to view the lack of opposition and Fuller’s established position on the council as the dominant factors supporting her elevated implied probability, while the wide field of other named candidates reflects ongoing uncertainty about potential late entrants from outside the current elected group.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$285
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 4:04 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Cheryl Fuller holds a clear lead in trader pricing for the Central Coast Council mayoral election due to the absence of declared challengers ahead of the October vote. As incumbent, she confirmed her intention to seek a second term, with local reporting in mid-June highlighting that no other councillors had stepped forward to contest the position and that several were instead focusing on deputy mayor bids. Previous opponent Garry Carpenter, who ran against her in 2022, has indicated uncertainty about another candidacy amid other commitments. Traders appear to view the lack of opposition and Fuller’s established position on the council as the dominant factors supporting her elevated implied probability, while the wide field of other named candidates reflects ongoing uncertainty about potential late entrants from outside the current elected group.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$285
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 4:04 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Central Coast Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Connexes

icon for Alison Jarman remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du maire de Devonport ?

Alison Jarman remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du maire de Devonport ?

58%
Oui
icon for Aldo Antolli remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Kingborough ?

Aldo Antolli remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Kingborough ?

42%
Oui
icon for Rick Shegog remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de West Tamar ?

Rick Shegog remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de West Tamar ?

61%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de la côte centrale » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 2 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Cheryl Fuller » à 62%, suivi de « Garry Carpenter » à 39%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 62¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 62% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de la côte centrale » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de la côte centrale », parcourez les 2 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de la côte centrale » est « Cheryl Fuller » à 62%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 62% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Garry Carpenter » à 39%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection municipale de la côte centrale » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.