Skip to main content

Pour trader aux États-Unis, va sur polymarket.us

icon for Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales

icon for Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales
Politique·Élections Mondiales

Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales

Matthew Garwood 54%

Paul Mallett 41%

Tim Walker 27%

Rose Diamond 21%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Matthew Garwood 54%

Paul Mallett 41%

Tim Walker 27%

Rose Diamond 21%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Matthew Garwood

Matthew Garwood

$0 Vol.

54%

icon for Paul Mallett

Paul Mallett

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Tim Walker

Tim Walker

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Rose Diamond

Rose Diamond

$0 Vol.

21%

icon for Kyle Barrett

Kyle Barrett

$0 Vol.

19%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Matthew Garwood, the incumbent since his 2023 by-election victory, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Launceston mayoral contest as nominations open on 7 September. Recent council tensions, including public clashes with councillor Tim Walker and fallout from Garwood’s 2025 social media associations plus a July 2026 defamation ruling, have compressed probabilities and sustained a crowded field of potential challengers. With voting compulsory and conducted by postal ballot closing 27 October, the pre-nomination phase keeps implied probabilities tight; formal candidate announcements on 22 September and subsequent campaign dynamics will likely create separation based on local visibility and council voting records.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Matthew Garwood, the incumbent since his 2023 by-election victory, holds a narrow lead in trader pricing for the Launceston mayoral contest as nominations open on 7 September. Recent council tensions, including public clashes with councillor Tim Walker and fallout from Garwood’s 2025 social media associations plus a July 2026 defamation ruling, have compressed probabilities and sustained a crowded field of potential challengers. With voting compulsory and conducted by postal ballot closing 27 October, the pre-nomination phase keeps implied probabilities tight; formal candidate announcements on 22 September and subsequent campaign dynamics will likely create separation based on local visibility and council voting records.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 3:57 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the City of Launceston as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Connexes

icon for Alison Jarman remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du maire de Devonport ?

Alison Jarman remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du maire de Devonport ?

58%
Oui
icon for Brett Whiteley remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Latrobe ?

Brett Whiteley remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Latrobe ?

16%
Oui
icon for Marti Zucco remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Hobart ?

Marti Zucco remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de Hobart ?

46%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 5 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Matthew Garwood » à 54%, suivi de « Paul Mallett » à 41%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 54¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales », parcourez les 5 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales » est « Matthew Garwood » à 54%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 54% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Paul Mallett » à 41%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Launceston Vainqueur des élections municipales » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.