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icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell
Politique·Maire

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell

icon for Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell
Politique·Maire

Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell

Janet Gatehouse 68%

Kristian Horvath 8%

Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux 6%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Janet Gatehouse 68%

Kristian Horvath 8%

Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux 6%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Janet Gatehouse

Janet Gatehouse

$264 Vol.

68%

icon for Kristian Horvath

Kristian Horvath

$372 Vol.

8%

icon for Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux

Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux

$246 Vol.

6%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Janet Gatehouse leads trader sentiment in the Sorell mayoral market as the incumbent following her 2024 by-election victory, where she secured 4,706 votes against Melinda Reed’s 4,014 in a postal ballot with 73.83% turnout. Her established position on council since 2022, active role in regional planning, emergency management, and community initiatives through 2025 and into 2026 have reinforced her standing ahead of the scheduled September/October ordinary election. Lower-priced contenders such as Kristian Horvath and Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux draw limited support based on prior candidacies without comparable recent momentum or institutional backing. The implied probabilities reflect trader assessment of incumbency advantages and the absence of major disruptive developments in the current cycle.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$882
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).Janet Gatehouse leads trader sentiment in the Sorell mayoral market as the incumbent following her 2024 by-election victory, where she secured 4,706 votes against Melinda Reed’s 4,014 in a postal ballot with 73.83% turnout. Her established position on council since 2022, active role in regional planning, emergency management, and community initiatives through 2025 and into 2026 have reinforced her standing ahead of the scheduled September/October ordinary election. Lower-priced contenders such as Kristian Horvath and Marisol Miro Quesada Le Roux draw limited support based on prior candidacies without comparable recent momentum or institutional backing. The implied probabilities reflect trader assessment of incumbency advantages and the absence of major disruptive developments in the current cycle.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$882
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 4:18 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of the Sorell Council area as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Connexes

icon for Teeny Brumby remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du maire de Burnie ?

Teeny Brumby remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du maire de Burnie ?

56%
Oui
icon for Rick Shegog remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de West Tamar ?

Rick Shegog remportera-t-il la prochaine élection du maire de West Tamar ?

61%
Oui
icon for Matthew Garwood remportera-t-il la prochaine élection à la mairie de Launceston ?

Matthew Garwood remportera-t-il la prochaine élection à la mairie de Launceston ?

54%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 3 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Janet Gatehouse » à 68%, suivi de « Kristian Horvath » à 8%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 68¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 68% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell », parcourez les 3 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell » est « Janet Gatehouse » à 68%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 68% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Kristian Horvath » à 8%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Vainqueur de l'élection du maire de Sorell » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.