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icon for Gagnant de l'élection du maire de Hobart Lord
Politique·Maire

Gagnant de l'élection du maire de Hobart Lord

icon for Gagnant de l'élection du maire de Hobart Lord
Politique·Maire

Gagnant de l'élection du maire de Hobart Lord

Marti Zucco 44%

Ryan Posselt 43%

Louise Bloomfield 43%

Harvey Lennon 43%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU

Marti Zucco 44%

Ryan Posselt 43%

Louise Bloomfield 43%

Harvey Lennon 43%

Polymarket
NOUVEAU
icon for Marti Zucco

Marti Zucco

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Ryan Posselt

Ryan Posselt

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Louise Bloomfield

Louise Bloomfield

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Harvey Lennon

Harvey Lennon

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Mike Dutta

Mike Dutta

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Bill Harvey

Bill Harvey

$0 Vol.

42%

icon for John Kelly

John Kelly

$0 Vol.

23%

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open race for Hobart Lord Mayor, following Anna Reynolds' decision not to seek re-election after eight years and her planned August 2026 departure, has created a fragmented field of independents and sitting councillors. With the October local government elections approaching under Tasmania's single transferable vote system, no candidate has consolidated broad support amid internal council tensions, including debates over amalgamation, land returns, and chamber dynamics. This uncertainty keeps implied probabilities closely matched among contenders such as Marti Zucco, Mike Dutta, Bill Harvey, Louise Bloomfield, Ryan Posselt, and John Kelly. Recent candidate interest and any late endorsements or polling shifts could begin to separate frontrunners before voting.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).The open race for Hobart Lord Mayor, following Anna Reynolds' decision not to seek re-election after eight years and her planned August 2026 departure, has created a fragmented field of independents and sitting councillors. With the October local government elections approaching under Tasmania's single transferable vote system, no candidate has consolidated broad support amid internal council tensions, including debates over amalgamation, land returns, and chamber dynamics. This uncertainty keeps implied probabilities closely matched among contenders such as Marti Zucco, Mike Dutta, Bill Harvey, Louise Bloomfield, Ryan Posselt, and John Kelly. Recent candidate interest and any late endorsements or polling shifts could begin to separate frontrunners before voting.

Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).
Volume
$0
Date de fin
28 oct. 2026
Marché ouvert
Sep 3, 2026, 5:25 PM ET

Source de résolution

https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/

Résolveur

0x69c47De9D...
Local government elections are scheduled to be held across Tasmania on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Lord Mayor of the City of Hobart as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as declared by the Tasmanian Electoral Commission (https://www.tec.tas.gov.au/).

Connexes

icon for Matthew Garwood remportera-t-il la prochaine élection à la mairie de Launceston ?

Matthew Garwood remportera-t-il la prochaine élection à la mairie de Launceston ?

54%
Oui
icon for Alison Jarman remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du maire de Devonport ?

Alison Jarman remportera-t-elle la prochaine élection du maire de Devonport ?

58%
Oui
icon for Brendan Blomeley remportera-t-il la prochaine élection à la mairie de Clarence ?

Brendan Blomeley remportera-t-il la prochaine élection à la mairie de Clarence ?

45%
Oui

Méfiez-vous des liens externes.

Questions fréquentes

« Gagnant de l'élection du maire de Hobart Lord » est un marché de prédiction sur Polymarket avec 7 résultats possibles où les traders achètent et vendent des parts selon ce qu'ils pensent qu'il se passera. Le résultat en tête actuel est « Marti Zucco » à 45%, suivi de « Ryan Posselt » à 44%. Les prix reflètent des probabilités en temps réel de la communauté. Par exemple, une part cotée à 45¢ implique que le marché attribue collectivement une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Ces cotes changent en permanence. Les parts du résultat correct sont échangeables contre $1 chacune lors de la résolution du marché.

« Gagnant de l'élection du maire de Hobart Lord » est un marché nouvellement créé sur Polymarket, lancé le Sep 3, 2026. En tant que marché récent, c'est votre opportunité d'être parmi les premiers traders à définir les cotes et établir les premiers signaux de prix du marché. Vous pouvez également ajouter cette page à vos favoris pour suivre le volume et l'activité de trading au fil du temps.

Pour trader sur « Gagnant de l'élection du maire de Hobart Lord », parcourez les 7 résultats disponibles sur cette page. Chaque résultat affiche un prix actuel représentant la probabilité implicite du marché. Pour prendre position, sélectionnez le résultat que vous estimez le plus probable, choisissez « Oui » pour trader en sa faveur ou « Non » pour trader contre, entrez votre montant et cliquez sur « Trader ». Si votre résultat choisi est correct lors de la résolution, vos parts « Oui » rapportent $1 chacune. S'il est incorrect, elles rapportent $0. Vous pouvez également vendre vos parts avant la résolution.

Le favori actuel pour « Gagnant de l'élection du maire de Hobart Lord » est « Marti Zucco » à 45%, ce qui signifie que le marché attribue une probabilité de 45% à ce résultat. Le résultat le plus proche ensuite est « Ryan Posselt » à 44%. Ces cotes sont mises à jour en temps réel à mesure que les traders achètent et vendent des parts. Revenez fréquemment ou ajoutez cette page à vos favoris.

Les règles de résolution de « Gagnant de l'élection du maire de Hobart Lord » définissent exactement ce qui doit se produire pour que chaque résultat soit déclaré gagnant, y compris les sources de données officielles utilisées pour déterminer le résultat. Vous pouvez consulter les critères de résolution complets dans la section « Règles » sur cette page au-dessus des commentaires. Nous recommandons de lire attentivement les règles avant de trader, car elles précisent les conditions exactes, les cas particuliers et les sources.