US authorities captured Cilia Flores alongside Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, during a military operation in Caracas and transferred both to federal custody in Brooklyn on longstanding drug-trafficking and weapons charges. She has remained detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center while proceedings continue in Manhattan federal court, including not-guilty pleas in January and a March hearing where dismissal motions were rejected. Trader positioning reflects ongoing legal pretrial detention combined with speculation over possible diplomatic negotiations or agreements between the United States and Venezuelan authorities that could alter custody status, particularly as bilateral discussions evolve. No firm release timeline has been confirmed, leaving resolution dependent on court rulings or executive actions within the applicable resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa femme de Maduro, Cilia Flores, libérée par... ?
La femme de Maduro, Cilia Flores, libérée par... ?
$1,375,004 Vol.
31 janv. 2026
31 décembre
16%
$1,375,004 Vol.
31 décembre
$328,403 Vol.
16%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US authorities captured Cilia Flores alongside Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, during a military operation in Caracas and transferred both to federal custody in Brooklyn on longstanding drug-trafficking and weapons charges. She has remained detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center while proceedings continue in Manhattan federal court, including not-guilty pleas in January and a March hearing where dismissal motions were rejected. Trader positioning reflects ongoing legal pretrial detention combined with speculation over possible diplomatic negotiations or agreements between the United States and Venezuelan authorities that could alter custody status, particularly as bilateral discussions evolve. No firm release timeline has been confirmed, leaving resolution dependent on court rulings or executive actions within the applicable resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ET
Volume
$1,375,004Date de fin
31 janv. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.US authorities captured Cilia Flores alongside Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, during a military operation in Caracas and transferred both to federal custody in Brooklyn on longstanding drug-trafficking and weapons charges. She has remained detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center while proceedings continue in Manhattan federal court, including not-guilty pleas in January and a March hearing where dismissal motions were rejected. Trader positioning reflects ongoing legal pretrial detention combined with speculation over possible diplomatic negotiations or agreements between the United States and Venezuelan authorities that could alter custody status, particularly as bilateral discussions evolve. No firm release timeline has been confirmed, leaving resolution dependent on court rulings or executive actions within the applicable resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Cilia Flores is released from custody by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
If Cilia Flores is released but remains under house arrest, the market will still resolve to "Yes".
If Cilia Flores is released on parole, bond, or any other condition that results in them leaving state custody, the market will resolve to "Yes".
Transporting Cilia Flores to another location of custody (e.g., a different prison, court, or hospital within the correctional system) will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes".
Temporary outings from prison for purposes such as testifying in court or before Congress, while still under the custody of correctional authorities, will not count as a release.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from government authorities or corrections departments; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$1,375,004Date de fin
31 janv. 2026Marché ouvert
Jan 3, 2026, 10:23 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...US authorities captured Cilia Flores alongside Nicolás Maduro on January 3, 2026, during a military operation in Caracas and transferred both to federal custody in Brooklyn on longstanding drug-trafficking and weapons charges. She has remained detained at the Metropolitan Detention Center while proceedings continue in Manhattan federal court, including not-guilty pleas in January and a March hearing where dismissal motions were rejected. Trader positioning reflects ongoing legal pretrial detention combined with speculation over possible diplomatic negotiations or agreements between the United States and Venezuelan authorities that could alter custody status, particularly as bilateral discussions evolve. No firm release timeline has been confirmed, leaving resolution dependent on court rulings or executive actions within the applicable resolution window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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