Traders assign a 97% probability against Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by June 30 because repeated Senate attempts to advance measures directing withdrawal of U.S. forces from hostilities have failed on narrow, largely party-line votes, most recently on June 16. The House approved a concurrent resolution on June 3, yet such measures carry limited legal weight and face procedural and veto barriers in a divided chamber with limited time left. Ongoing diplomatic talks and administration signals of a potential de-escalation path have further reduced urgency for legislative action. A last-minute bipartisan breakthrough in the Senate before the deadline remains possible but would require rapid shifts in Republican support amid the short remaining window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$338,024 Vol.
$338,024 Vol.
30 juin 2026
Oui
$338,024 Vol.
$338,024 Vol.
30 juin 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 97% probability against Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by June 30 because repeated Senate attempts to advance measures directing withdrawal of U.S. forces from hostilities have failed on narrow, largely party-line votes, most recently on June 16. The House approved a concurrent resolution on June 3, yet such measures carry limited legal weight and face procedural and veto barriers in a divided chamber with limited time left. Ongoing diplomatic talks and administration signals of a potential de-escalation path have further reduced urgency for legislative action. A last-minute bipartisan breakthrough in the Senate before the deadline remains possible but would require rapid shifts in Republican support amid the short remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Marché ouvert : May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ET
Volume
$338,024Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.Traders assign a 97% probability against Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by June 30 because repeated Senate attempts to advance measures directing withdrawal of U.S. forces from hostilities have failed on narrow, largely party-line votes, most recently on June 16. The House approved a concurrent resolution on June 3, yet such measures carry limited legal weight and face procedural and veto barriers in a divided chamber with limited time left. Ongoing diplomatic talks and administration signals of a potential de-escalation path have further reduced urgency for legislative action. A last-minute bipartisan breakthrough in the Senate before the deadline remains possible but would require rapid shifts in Republican support amid the short remaining window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if both the U.S. House of Representatives and the U.S. Senate pass the same bill, measure, or resolution that seeks to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel-Iran conflict by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Legislation will qualify as seeking to limit U.S. armed forces military action in the recent US/Israel–Iran conflict if it explicitly seeks to restrict, terminate, or require congressional approval for U.S. armed forces’ hostilities, strikes, deployments, or other military operations against Iran or its proxy forces. Non-binding statements or measures that express disapproval, call for investigation, or otherwise relate to the US/Israel-Iran conflict without seeking to limit military action will not qualify.
A measure amended by either chamber will only qualify if the amended version is subsequently finally passed by both chambers in identical form.
The resolution sources will be official congressional voting records and a consensus of credible reporting.
Volume
$338,024Date de fin
30 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 29, 2026, 9:10 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Résultat proposé: Oui
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Oui
Traders assign a 97% probability against Congress passing an Iran war powers resolution by June 30 because repeated Senate attempts to advance measures directing withdrawal of U.S. forces from hostilities have failed on narrow, largely party-line votes, most recently on June 16. The House approved a concurrent resolution on June 3, yet such measures carry limited legal weight and face procedural and veto barriers in a divided chamber with limited time left. Ongoing diplomatic talks and administration signals of a potential de-escalation path have further reduced urgency for legislative action. A last-minute bipartisan breakthrough in the Senate before the deadline remains possible but would require rapid shifts in Republican support amid the short remaining window.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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