The ECB's June 2026 decision to raise its key policy rates by 25 basis points to 2.25% (deposit facility) reflects updated Eurosystem staff projections showing headline inflation averaging 3.0% for the year, well above the 2% medium-term target, driven primarily by elevated energy prices amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. This follows a period of earlier easing and aligns with a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach that prioritizes containing second-round effects over growth concerns, with economic expansion now forecast at just 0.8% for 2026. Market pricing and economist surveys indicate further tightening remains possible later in the year rather than any reversal, reinforcing trader consensus against a rate cut before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourOui
$28,265 Vol.
$28,265 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
Oui
$28,265 Vol.
$28,265 Vol.
31 déc. 2026
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ECB's June 2026 decision to raise its key policy rates by 25 basis points to 2.25% (deposit facility) reflects updated Eurosystem staff projections showing headline inflation averaging 3.0% for the year, well above the 2% medium-term target, driven primarily by elevated energy prices amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. This follows a period of earlier easing and aligns with a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach that prioritizes containing second-round effects over growth concerns, with economic expansion now forecast at just 0.8% for 2026. Market pricing and economist surveys indicate further tightening remains possible later in the year rather than any reversal, reinforcing trader consensus against a rate cut before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Marché ouvert : Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ET
Volume
$28,265Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The ECB's June 2026 decision to raise its key policy rates by 25 basis points to 2.25% (deposit facility) reflects updated Eurosystem staff projections showing headline inflation averaging 3.0% for the year, well above the 2% medium-term target, driven primarily by elevated energy prices amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. This follows a period of earlier easing and aligns with a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach that prioritizes containing second-round effects over growth concerns, with economic expansion now forecast at just 0.8% for 2026. Market pricing and economist surveys indicate further tightening remains possible later in the year rather than any reversal, reinforcing trader consensus against a rate cut before year-end.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the European Central Bank’s (ECB) deposit facility rate is decreased at any point between January 1, 2026 and the conclusion of the ECB's December 2026 meeting, currently scheduled for December 16-17, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market may not resolve to "No" until the ECB has released its rate change decision following its December meeting. If, however, the ECB’s December meeting is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026, or the rate change decision for that meeting is otherwise unknown by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, and no qualifying rate decrease has occurred, this market will resolve immediately to “No”.
The primary resolution source for this market will be the European Central Bank (https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/policy_and_exchange_rates/key_ecb_interest_rates/html/index.en.html), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$28,265Date de fin
31 déc. 2026Marché ouvert
Dec 23, 2025, 5:10 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The ECB's June 2026 decision to raise its key policy rates by 25 basis points to 2.25% (deposit facility) reflects updated Eurosystem staff projections showing headline inflation averaging 3.0% for the year, well above the 2% medium-term target, driven primarily by elevated energy prices amid ongoing geopolitical tensions. This follows a period of earlier easing and aligns with a data-dependent, meeting-by-meeting approach that prioritizes containing second-round effects over growth concerns, with economic expansion now forecast at just 0.8% for 2026. Market pricing and economist surveys indicate further tightening remains possible later in the year rather than any reversal, reinforcing trader consensus against a rate cut before year-end.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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