Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, with 45.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady cadence of roughly 40 posts daily so far—totaling around 240 through April 15 amid SpaceX Starship Flight 12 prep buzz and pointed commentary on cultural flashpoints like Disney's policy reversal and urban crime policies. The closely contested race against 320-339 (23.1%) and 280-299 (22.5%) bins underscores uncertainty in his final 36 hours, where viral engagement on Tesla autonomy clips or political hot takes could swing totals. No major lulls or surges in the past 48 hours, but weekend patterns historically boost volume, keeping upside risk alive before tomorrow's close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour300-319 46%
280-299 23.9%
320-339 22.1%
340-359 5.2%
$10,051,189 Vol.
$10,051,189 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
260-279
1%
280-299
24%
300-319
46%
320-339
22%
340-359
5%
360-379
2%
380-399
1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 46%
280-299 23.9%
320-339 22.1%
340-359 5.2%
$10,051,189 Vol.
$10,051,189 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
260-279
$609,541 Vol.
1%
280-299
$434,111 Vol.
24%
300-319
$343,679 Vol.
46%
320-339
$446,222 Vol.
22%
340-359
$372,052 Vol.
5%
360-379
$392,685 Vol.
2%
380-399
$339,416 Vol.
1%
400-419
$412,970 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$427,954 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$483,526 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$342,850 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$329,750 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$264,248 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$266,477 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$270,374 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$188,742 Vol.
<1%
580+
$354,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, with 45.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady cadence of roughly 40 posts daily so far—totaling around 240 through April 15 amid SpaceX Starship Flight 12 prep buzz and pointed commentary on cultural flashpoints like Disney's policy reversal and urban crime policies. The closely contested race against 320-339 (23.1%) and 280-299 (22.5%) bins underscores uncertainty in his final 36 hours, where viral engagement on Tesla autonomy clips or political hot takes could swing totals. No major lulls or surges in the past 48 hours, but weekend patterns historically boost volume, keeping upside risk alive before tomorrow's close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$10,051,189Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, with 45.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady cadence of roughly 40 posts daily so far—totaling around 240 through April 15 amid SpaceX Starship Flight 12 prep buzz and pointed commentary on cultural flashpoints like Disney's policy reversal and urban crime policies. The closely contested race against 320-339 (23.1%) and 280-299 (22.5%) bins underscores uncertainty in his final 36 hours, where viral engagement on Tesla autonomy clips or political hot takes could swing totals. No major lulls or surges in the past 48 hours, but weekend patterns historically boost volume, keeping upside risk alive before tomorrow's close.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$10,051,189Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times on X from April 10-17, with 45.5% implied probability, reflecting his steady cadence of roughly 40 posts daily so far—totaling around 240 through April 15 amid SpaceX Starship Flight 12 prep buzz and pointed commentary on cultural flashpoints like Disney's policy reversal and urban crime policies. The closely contested race against 320-339 (23.1%) and 280-299 (22.5%) bins underscores uncertainty in his final 36 hours, where viral engagement on Tesla autonomy clips or political hot takes could swing totals. No major lulls or surges in the past 48 hours, but weekend patterns historically boost volume, keeping upside risk alive before tomorrow's close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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