Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times from April 10-17, 2026, at 44.5% implied probability, with 280-299 (26.5%) and 320-339 (18.4%) close behind, anchored by xTracker data showing 267 posts through six days elapsed as of early April 16—an elevated 45 daily average after a 57-per-day start that moderated amid viral threads on South African internet access policies, SpaceX megastructure feats, and Tesla FSD Supervised demos. This positions mid-30s daily pace as the skin-in-the-game expectation, consistent with Musk's historical 30-50 tweet rhythm during high-engagement periods on X, where his commentary sparks massive cultural buzz. Remaining April 16-17 activity, including potential Grok coding terminal beta teases, could tip totals amid unpredictable news cycles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour300-319 45%
280-299 26.8%
320-339 18.1%
340-359 5.5%
$9,784,920 Vol.
$9,784,920 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
240-259
<1%
260-279
2%
280-299
27%
300-319
45%
320-339
18%
340-359
5%
360-379
2%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 45%
280-299 26.8%
320-339 18.1%
340-359 5.5%
$9,784,920 Vol.
$9,784,920 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
240-259
$826,552 Vol.
<1%
260-279
$552,405 Vol.
2%
280-299
$424,121 Vol.
27%
300-319
$339,611 Vol.
45%
320-339
$440,362 Vol.
18%
340-359
$349,608 Vol.
5%
360-379
$367,146 Vol.
2%
380-399
$317,757 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$305,959 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$427,912 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$483,526 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$342,850 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$329,750 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$264,248 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$266,477 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$265,374 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$183,742 Vol.
<1%
580+
$349,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times from April 10-17, 2026, at 44.5% implied probability, with 280-299 (26.5%) and 320-339 (18.4%) close behind, anchored by xTracker data showing 267 posts through six days elapsed as of early April 16—an elevated 45 daily average after a 57-per-day start that moderated amid viral threads on South African internet access policies, SpaceX megastructure feats, and Tesla FSD Supervised demos. This positions mid-30s daily pace as the skin-in-the-game expectation, consistent with Musk's historical 30-50 tweet rhythm during high-engagement periods on X, where his commentary sparks massive cultural buzz. Remaining April 16-17 activity, including potential Grok coding terminal beta teases, could tip totals amid unpredictable news cycles.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$9,784,920Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times from April 10-17, 2026, at 44.5% implied probability, with 280-299 (26.5%) and 320-339 (18.4%) close behind, anchored by xTracker data showing 267 posts through six days elapsed as of early April 16—an elevated 45 daily average after a 57-per-day start that moderated amid viral threads on South African internet access policies, SpaceX megastructure feats, and Tesla FSD Supervised demos. This positions mid-30s daily pace as the skin-in-the-game expectation, consistent with Musk's historical 30-50 tweet rhythm during high-engagement periods on X, where his commentary sparks massive cultural buzz. Remaining April 16-17 activity, including potential Grok coding terminal beta teases, could tip totals amid unpredictable news cycles.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$9,784,920Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times from April 10-17, 2026, at 44.5% implied probability, with 280-299 (26.5%) and 320-339 (18.4%) close behind, anchored by xTracker data showing 267 posts through six days elapsed as of early April 16—an elevated 45 daily average after a 57-per-day start that moderated amid viral threads on South African internet access policies, SpaceX megastructure feats, and Tesla FSD Supervised demos. This positions mid-30s daily pace as the skin-in-the-game expectation, consistent with Musk's historical 30-50 tweet rhythm during high-engagement periods on X, where his commentary sparks massive cultural buzz. Remaining April 16-17 activity, including potential Grok coding terminal beta teases, could tip totals amid unpredictable news cycles.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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