Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times from April 10-17, with 50.5% implied probability, anchored by xTracker data logging 267 qualifying posts (main feed, quotes, reposts only—no replies) through April 15 at a 45-per-day pace. This surge stems from viral clashes over South Africa's B-BBEE laws blocking Starlink licenses, branded by Musk as "Apartheid 2.0," alongside commentary on U.S. immigration, crime stats, and Tesla FSD breakthroughs amid Model S/X phaseout buzz. With two days left through April 17, sustained cultural firestorms could push toward 320+, but traders price in potential weekend lull for the 280-299 cluster at 25.1%. Markets reflect real-money bets on his unpredictable posting rhythm.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour300-319 51%
280-299 25.1%
320-339 17.4%
340-359 4.5%
$10,402,415 Vol.
$10,402,415 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
260-279
2%
280-299
25%
300-319
51%
320-339
17%
340-359
5%
360-379
2%
380-399
<1%
400-419
<1%
420-439
<1%
440-459
<1%
460-479
<1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
300-319 51%
280-299 25.1%
320-339 17.4%
340-359 4.5%
$10,402,415 Vol.
$10,402,415 Vol.
17 avr. 2026
260-279
$711,418 Vol.
2%
280-299
$462,069 Vol.
25%
300-319
$356,065 Vol.
51%
320-339
$463,091 Vol.
17%
340-359
$403,356 Vol.
5%
360-379
$422,768 Vol.
2%
380-399
$381,290 Vol.
<1%
400-419
$494,840 Vol.
<1%
420-439
$430,731 Vol.
<1%
440-459
$483,698 Vol.
<1%
460-479
$342,850 Vol.
<1%
480-499
$329,750 Vol.
<1%
500-519
$264,248 Vol.
<1%
520-539
$266,477 Vol.
<1%
540-559
$270,374 Vol.
<1%
560-579
$188,742 Vol.
<1%
580+
$354,007 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times from April 10-17, with 50.5% implied probability, anchored by xTracker data logging 267 qualifying posts (main feed, quotes, reposts only—no replies) through April 15 at a 45-per-day pace. This surge stems from viral clashes over South Africa's B-BBEE laws blocking Starlink licenses, branded by Musk as "Apartheid 2.0," alongside commentary on U.S. immigration, crime stats, and Tesla FSD breakthroughs amid Model S/X phaseout buzz. With two days left through April 17, sustained cultural firestorms could push toward 320+, but traders price in potential weekend lull for the 280-299 cluster at 25.1%. Markets reflect real-money bets on his unpredictable posting rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$10,402,415Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times from April 10-17, with 50.5% implied probability, anchored by xTracker data logging 267 qualifying posts (main feed, quotes, reposts only—no replies) through April 15 at a 45-per-day pace. This surge stems from viral clashes over South Africa's B-BBEE laws blocking Starlink licenses, branded by Musk as "Apartheid 2.0," alongside commentary on U.S. immigration, crime stats, and Tesla FSD breakthroughs amid Model S/X phaseout buzz. With two days left through April 17, sustained cultural firestorms could push toward 320+, but traders price in potential weekend lull for the 280-299 cluster at 25.1%. Markets reflect real-money bets on his unpredictable posting rhythm.
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from April 10 12:00 PM ET to April 17, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Volume
$10,402,415Date de fin
17 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 7, 2026, 12:03 AM ETSource de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket heavily favors Elon Musk posting 300-319 times from April 10-17, with 50.5% implied probability, anchored by xTracker data logging 267 qualifying posts (main feed, quotes, reposts only—no replies) through April 15 at a 45-per-day pace. This surge stems from viral clashes over South Africa's B-BBEE laws blocking Starlink licenses, branded by Musk as "Apartheid 2.0," alongside commentary on U.S. immigration, crime stats, and Tesla FSD breakthroughs amid Model S/X phaseout buzz. With two days left through April 17, sustained cultural firestorms could push toward 320+, but traders price in potential weekend lull for the 280-299 cluster at 25.1%. Markets reflect real-money bets on his unpredictable posting rhythm.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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