Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from April 17-24, with 260-279 leading at 16.5% implied probability, mirroring his recent 41 posts-per-day pace—247 total through 86% of the April 10-17 tracking period per XTracker data. This reflects sustained high engagement driven by viral political clashes, like his April 15 rebukes of South African empowerment laws, alongside Tesla Semi showcases and xAI hardware tapeouts. The razor-thin spread among top bins underscores Elon's unpredictable spikes from breaking news or product announcements versus quieter stretches amid DOGE duties; watch for controversy catalysts or SpaceX updates that could push toward 300+ or dip below 240 before the April 24 close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour260-279 17%
240-259 16%
280-299 16%
300-319 14%
$821,824 Vol.
$821,824 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
6%
220-239
10%
240-259
16%
260-279
17%
280-299
16%
300-319
14%
320-339
8%
340-359
5%
360-379
4%
380-399
3%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
260-279 17%
240-259 16%
280-299 16%
300-319 14%
$821,824 Vol.
$821,824 Vol.
<20
<1%
20-39
<1%
40-59
<1%
60-79
<1%
80-99
<1%
100-119
<1%
120-139
<1%
140-159
1%
160-179
1%
180-199
3%
200-219
6%
220-239
10%
240-259
16%
260-279
17%
280-299
16%
300-319
14%
320-339
8%
340-359
5%
360-379
4%
380-399
3%
400-419
1%
420-439
1%
440-459
1%
460-479
1%
480-499
<1%
500-519
<1%
520-539
<1%
540-559
<1%
560-579
<1%
580+
<1%
For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Marché ouvert : Apr 14, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.
Source de résolution
https://x.com/elonmuskResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket clusters tightly around 240-299 tweets for Elon Musk's X activity from April 17-24, with 260-279 leading at 16.5% implied probability, mirroring his recent 41 posts-per-day pace—247 total through 86% of the April 10-17 tracking period per XTracker data. This reflects sustained high engagement driven by viral political clashes, like his April 15 rebukes of South African empowerment laws, alongside Tesla Semi showcases and xAI hardware tapeouts. The razor-thin spread among top bins underscores Elon's unpredictable spikes from breaking news or product announcements versus quieter stretches amid DOGE duties; watch for controversy catalysts or SpaceX updates that could push toward 300+ or dip below 240 before the April 24 close.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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