Recep Tayyip Erdoğan’s current presidential term extends through 2028 under Turkey’s constitutional framework, with the next scheduled election set for May of that year. No snap election has been called, and recent legal actions against opposition figures, including the ouster of CHP leader Özgür Özel and proceedings involving Istanbul mayor Ekrem İmamoğlu, have further consolidated the ruling alliance’s position ahead of any potential early vote. Discussions of constitutional amendments to enable another term remain ongoing but have not altered the immediate timeline. These factors, combined with the absence of acute health or political crises forcing an exit, underpin the strong trader view that Erdoğan will retain office beyond December 2026.