Persistent gang violence and security shortfalls in Haiti continue to complicate preparations for the long-delayed August 2026 first-round presidential and legislative elections, creating a near-even split in trader views on another postponement. Recent steps including voter registration delays announced in April, revisions to the electoral decree, and Prime Minister Alix Didier Fils-Aimé’s May statements questioning the August timeline underscore logistical and safety hurdles, while the Provisional Electoral Council maintains the calendar and over 300 parties have registered. Funding shortfalls, transitional council mandate pressures, and competing political demands add uncertainty. Further security deterioration or new procedural setbacks could favor additional delays, whereas verifiable progress on voter access and stabilization might support the current schedule.