Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa Airport on April 14, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles diverging sharply: cooler members cluster at 10–12°C under persistent northerly flow from a lingering upper-level trough, while warmer outliers project 21–23°C amid potential high-pressure ridging and enhanced diurnal heating. Recent developments include a multi-day cold outbreak through April 12, with observed highs of 7–11°C amid cloudy conditions and light precipitation, per Turkish State Meteorological Service data—far below April climatological averages of 16–17°C. Key differentiators are trough exit timing and 500 hPa height recovery; new 00Z model runs and MGM updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen odds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Ankara on April 14?
Highest temperature in Ankara on April 14?
16°C 25%
17°C 21%
15°C 14%
20°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 avr. 2026
11°C or below
6%
12°C
6%
13°C
8%
14°C
8%
15°C
14%
16°C
19%
17°C
21%
18°C
12%
19°C
8%
20°C
14%
21°C or higher
8%
16°C 25%
17°C 21%
15°C 14%
20°C 14%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
14 avr. 2026
11°C or below
$42 Vol.
6%
12°C
$2 Vol.
6%
13°C
$10 Vol.
8%
14°C
$0 Vol.
8%
15°C
$0 Vol.
14%
16°C
$10 Vol.
19%
17°C
$5 Vol.
21%
18°C
$19 Vol.
12%
19°C
$2 Vol.
8%
20°C
$3 Vol.
14%
21°C or higher
$0 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa Airport on April 14, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles diverging sharply: cooler members cluster at 10–12°C under persistent northerly flow from a lingering upper-level trough, while warmer outliers project 21–23°C amid potential high-pressure ridging and enhanced diurnal heating. Recent developments include a multi-day cold outbreak through April 12, with observed highs of 7–11°C amid cloudy conditions and light precipitation, per Turkish State Meteorological Service data—far below April climatological averages of 16–17°C. Key differentiators are trough exit timing and 500 hPa height recovery; new 00Z model runs and MGM updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ET
Volume
$92Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa Airport on April 14, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles diverging sharply: cooler members cluster at 10–12°C under persistent northerly flow from a lingering upper-level trough, while warmer outliers project 21–23°C amid potential high-pressure ridging and enhanced diurnal heating. Recent developments include a multi-day cold outbreak through April 12, with observed highs of 7–11°C amid cloudy conditions and light precipitation, per Turkish State Meteorological Service data—far below April climatological averages of 16–17°C. Key differentiators are trough exit timing and 500 hPa height recovery; new 00Z model runs and MGM updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen odds before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 14 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$92Date de fin
14 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 12, 2026, 12:35 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects deep uncertainty in numerical weather prediction models for Ankara's highest temperature at Esenboğa Airport on April 14, with GFS and ECMWF ensembles diverging sharply: cooler members cluster at 10–12°C under persistent northerly flow from a lingering upper-level trough, while warmer outliers project 21–23°C amid potential high-pressure ridging and enhanced diurnal heating. Recent developments include a multi-day cold outbreak through April 12, with observed highs of 7–11°C amid cloudy conditions and light precipitation, per Turkish State Meteorological Service data—far below April climatological averages of 16–17°C. Key differentiators are trough exit timing and 500 hPa height recovery; new 00Z model runs and MGM updates expected within 24 hours could sharpen odds before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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