**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 25°C in Ankara on August 30, 2026, as the dominant outcome driving the 54.5% market-implied probability.** A northerly flow of cooler air has suppressed temperatures across central Turkey since August 28, with Ankara recording highs near or below 24°C on the 29th amid increased cloud cover and winds of 5–9 m/s. Numerical guidance, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in public forecasts, shows this regime persisting into the 30th, limiting insolation and capping afternoon peaks at 24–26°C at the Esenboğa station. Light precipitation chances remain low, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky heating keeps 27°C+ probabilities minimal while supporting a narrow range around the 25°C threshold. Updated model output and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance on the morning of the 30th will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Ankara le 30 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Ankara le 30 août ?
25°C 55%
26°C 21%
24°C 17%
27°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
21°C or below
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
17%
25°C
55%
26°C
21%
27°C
4%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C or higher
<1%
25°C 55%
26°C 21%
24°C 17%
27°C 4%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
30 août 2026
21°C or below
$171 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$362 Vol.
1%
23°C
$379 Vol.
3%
24°C
$1,266 Vol.
17%
25°C
$2,831 Vol.
55%
26°C
$1,350 Vol.
21%
27°C
$742 Vol.
4%
28°C
$229 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$473 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$225 Vol.
<1%
31°C or higher
$215 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 25°C in Ankara on August 30, 2026, as the dominant outcome driving the 54.5% market-implied probability.** A northerly flow of cooler air has suppressed temperatures across central Turkey since August 28, with Ankara recording highs near or below 24°C on the 29th amid increased cloud cover and winds of 5–9 m/s. Numerical guidance, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in public forecasts, shows this regime persisting into the 30th, limiting insolation and capping afternoon peaks at 24–26°C at the Esenboğa station. Light precipitation chances remain low, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky heating keeps 27°C+ probabilities minimal while supporting a narrow range around the 25°C threshold. Updated model output and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance on the morning of the 30th will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$8,243Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 25°C in Ankara on August 30, 2026, as the dominant outcome driving the 54.5% market-implied probability.** A northerly flow of cooler air has suppressed temperatures across central Turkey since August 28, with Ankara recording highs near or below 24°C on the 29th amid increased cloud cover and winds of 5–9 m/s. Numerical guidance, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in public forecasts, shows this regime persisting into the 30th, limiting insolation and capping afternoon peaks at 24–26°C at the Esenboğa station. Light precipitation chances remain low, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky heating keeps 27°C+ probabilities minimal while supporting a narrow range around the 25°C threshold. Updated model output and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance on the morning of the 30th will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 30 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltac
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$8,243Date de fin
30 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 28, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=ltacRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast consensus from multiple models points to a daily maximum of 25°C in Ankara on August 30, 2026, as the dominant outcome driving the 54.5% market-implied probability.** A northerly flow of cooler air has suppressed temperatures across central Turkey since August 28, with Ankara recording highs near or below 24°C on the 29th amid increased cloud cover and winds of 5–9 m/s. Numerical guidance, including GFS and ECMWF runs referenced in public forecasts, shows this regime persisting into the 30th, limiting insolation and capping afternoon peaks at 24–26°C at the Esenboğa station. Light precipitation chances remain low, and the absence of strong southerly advection or clear-sky heating keeps 27°C+ probabilities minimal while supporting a narrow range around the 25°C threshold. Updated model output and official Turkish Meteorological Service guidance on the morning of the 30th will provide the final observational anchor for resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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