Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated April 16, projects a high of 26°C in Busan at Gimhae International Airport on April 18 under clear skies and calm winds, driving a warming trend after 20°C on April 17. However, closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C (26.5%), 22°C (25%), and 23°C (20.5%) reflect trader skepticism, tempered by mid-April climatology averaging 18-20°C, recent highs of 23°C on April 11 and around 20°C on April 14, and coastal sea breeze effects that often cap peaks despite subsidence warming from a high-pressure ridge. Key differentiators include morning lows near 9°C potentially delaying warm-up and variable solar insolation; watch KMA's next update Saturday morning for refined model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Busan on April 18?
Highest temperature in Busan on April 18?
22°C 32%
21°C 27%
23°C 24%
20°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 avr. 2026
15°C or below
1%
16°C
1%
17°C
1%
18°C
3%
19°C
6%
20°C
17%
21°C
27%
22°C
32%
23°C
24%
24°C
4%
25°C or higher
2%
22°C 32%
21°C 27%
23°C 24%
20°C 17%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
18 avr. 2026
15°C or below
$820 Vol.
1%
16°C
$711 Vol.
1%
17°C
$38 Vol.
1%
18°C
$7 Vol.
3%
19°C
$11 Vol.
6%
20°C
$14 Vol.
17%
21°C
$0 Vol.
27%
22°C
$11 Vol.
32%
23°C
$224 Vol.
24%
24°C
$994 Vol.
4%
25°C or higher
$406 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated April 16, projects a high of 26°C in Busan at Gimhae International Airport on April 18 under clear skies and calm winds, driving a warming trend after 20°C on April 17. However, closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C (26.5%), 22°C (25%), and 23°C (20.5%) reflect trader skepticism, tempered by mid-April climatology averaging 18-20°C, recent highs of 23°C on April 11 and around 20°C on April 14, and coastal sea breeze effects that often cap peaks despite subsidence warming from a high-pressure ridge. Key differentiators include morning lows near 9°C potentially delaying warm-up and variable solar insolation; watch KMA's next update Saturday morning for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$3,044Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated April 16, projects a high of 26°C in Busan at Gimhae International Airport on April 18 under clear skies and calm winds, driving a warming trend after 20°C on April 17. However, closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C (26.5%), 22°C (25%), and 23°C (20.5%) reflect trader skepticism, tempered by mid-April climatology averaging 18-20°C, recent highs of 23°C on April 11 and around 20°C on April 14, and coastal sea breeze effects that often cap peaks despite subsidence warming from a high-pressure ridge. Key differentiators include morning lows near 9°C potentially delaying warm-up and variable solar insolation; watch KMA's next update Saturday morning for refined model runs.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Gimhae Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Gimhae Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$3,044Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 12:28 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/kr/busan/RKPKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Korea Meteorological Administration's latest short-term forecast, updated April 16, projects a high of 26°C in Busan at Gimhae International Airport on April 18 under clear skies and calm winds, driving a warming trend after 20°C on April 17. However, closely matched market-implied odds favoring 21°C (26.5%), 22°C (25%), and 23°C (20.5%) reflect trader skepticism, tempered by mid-April climatology averaging 18-20°C, recent highs of 23°C on April 11 and around 20°C on April 14, and coastal sea breeze effects that often cap peaks despite subsidence warming from a high-pressure ridge. Key differentiators include morning lows near 9°C potentially delaying warm-up and variable solar insolation; watch KMA's next update Saturday morning for refined model runs.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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