Official temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of exactly 30°C on June 6, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Recent downpours and associated cloud cover suppressed daytime heating amid the seasonal monsoon transition, preventing the typical June peak near 31–32°C observed in climatological averages. This aligns with broader early-summer patterns where convective activity and variable steering flows moderate extremes, though minor measurement variations at urban stations or slight forecast revisions could theoretically shift resolution if thresholds were narrowly missed. Traders’ consensus reflects confidence in these verified observations over model projections.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Hong Kong on June 6?
30°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
31°C <1%
$278,204 Vol.
$278,204 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
30°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
31°C <1%
$278,204 Vol.
$278,204 Vol.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
Yes
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Jun 5, 2026, 12:07 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Max (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official temperature records from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm a daily maximum of exactly 30°C on June 6, 2026, anchoring the market-implied odds near 100% for that outcome. Recent downpours and associated cloud cover suppressed daytime heating amid the seasonal monsoon transition, preventing the typical June peak near 31–32°C observed in climatological averages. This aligns with broader early-summer patterns where convective activity and variable steering flows moderate extremes, though minor measurement variations at urban stations or slight forecast revisions could theoretically shift resolution if thresholds were narrowly missed. Traders’ consensus reflects confidence in these verified observations over model projections.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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