Persistent summer atmospheric patterns, including dominance of the subtropical high-pressure system over eastern China, underpin the market's 100% implied probability for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 16. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models project highs of 28–34°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical August averages near 30–31°C and recent days exceeding 32°C. This consensus reflects verified observational trends and seasonal climatology rather than uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold frontal passage or persistent heavy cloud cover and precipitation to suppress insolation enough to keep the maximum below the threshold, though current model agreement makes such a shift improbable before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Jinan le 16 août ?
La température la plus élevée à Jinan le 16 août ?
26°C ou plus 100.0%
$948 Vol.
$948 Vol.
16 août 2026
26°C ou plus
100%
26°C ou plus 100.0%
$948 Vol.
$948 Vol.
16 août 2026
26°C ou plus
$472 Vol.
100%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer atmospheric patterns, including dominance of the subtropical high-pressure system over eastern China, underpin the market's 100% implied probability for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 16. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models project highs of 28–34°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical August averages near 30–31°C and recent days exceeding 32°C. This consensus reflects verified observational trends and seasonal climatology rather than uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold frontal passage or persistent heavy cloud cover and precipitation to suppress insolation enough to keep the maximum below the threshold, though current model agreement makes such a shift improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ET
Volume
$948Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent summer atmospheric patterns, including dominance of the subtropical high-pressure system over eastern China, underpin the market's 100% implied probability for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 16. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models project highs of 28–34°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical August averages near 30–31°C and recent days exceeding 32°C. This consensus reflects verified observational trends and seasonal climatology rather than uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold frontal passage or persistent heavy cloud cover and precipitation to suppress insolation enough to keep the maximum below the threshold, though current model agreement makes such a shift improbable before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Jinan Yaoqiang International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$948Date de fin
16 août 2026Marché ouvert
Aug 15, 2026, 4:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/jinan/ZSJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Persistent summer atmospheric patterns, including dominance of the subtropical high-pressure system over eastern China, underpin the market's 100% implied probability for a daily maximum of 26°C or higher in Jinan on August 16. Official forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and ensemble models project highs of 28–34°C under mostly sunny to partly cloudy conditions, consistent with historical August averages near 30–31°C and recent days exceeding 32°C. This consensus reflects verified observational trends and seasonal climatology rather than uncertainty. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted cold frontal passage or persistent heavy cloud cover and precipitation to suppress insolation enough to keep the maximum below the threshold, though current model agreement makes such a shift improbable before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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