Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concluded without exceeding that threshold. This aligns with early May patterns of above-normal warmth, following a 34.6°C peak on May 2 amid persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover suppressing typical rainy season cooling. Thermometer data from calibrated surface stations provide the verifiable evidence, with real-time reports throughout the day peaking at 34°C around midday. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-hoc revision by NiMet due to sensor malfunction or data reconciliation, though such adjustments are infrequent after initial bulletins; final confirmation expected in NiMet's daily summary within 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lagos on May 6?
Highest temperature in Lagos on May 6?
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$104,946 Vol.
$104,946 Vol.
6 mai 2026
27°C or below
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
27°C or below <1%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$104,946 Vol.
$104,946 Vol.
6 mai 2026
27°C or below
$9,057 Vol.
No
28°C
$3,215 Vol.
No
29°C
$2,269 Vol.
No
30°C
$3,502 Vol.
No
31°C
$1,510 Vol.
No
32°C
$10,436 Vol.
No
33°C
$49,877 Vol.
No
34°C
$7,464 Vol.
Yes
35°C
$6,755 Vol.
No
36°C
$3,524 Vol.
No
37°C or higher
$7,337 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concluded without exceeding that threshold. This aligns with early May patterns of above-normal warmth, following a 34.6°C peak on May 2 amid persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover suppressing typical rainy season cooling. Thermometer data from calibrated surface stations provide the verifiable evidence, with real-time reports throughout the day peaking at 34°C around midday. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-hoc revision by NiMet due to sensor malfunction or data reconciliation, though such adjustments are infrequent after initial bulletins; final confirmation expected in NiMet's daily summary within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 4, 2026, 1:16 PM ET
Volume
$104,946Date de fin
6 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 1:16 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concluded without exceeding that threshold. This aligns with early May patterns of above-normal warmth, following a 34.6°C peak on May 2 amid persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover suppressing typical rainy season cooling. Thermometer data from calibrated surface stations provide the verifiable evidence, with real-time reports throughout the day peaking at 34°C around midday. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-hoc revision by NiMet due to sensor malfunction or data reconciliation, though such adjustments are infrequent after initial bulletins; final confirmation expected in NiMet's daily summary within 48 hours.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Murtala Muhammad International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$104,946Date de fin
6 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 4, 2026, 1:16 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ng/lagos/DNMMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Official observations from the Nigerian Meteorological Agency (NiMet) and Murtala Muhammed International Airport stations in Lagos confirm a maximum temperature of 34°C on May 6, 2026, driving trader consensus to 100% implied probability for this outcome as the day concluded without exceeding that threshold. This aligns with early May patterns of above-normal warmth, following a 34.6°C peak on May 2 amid persistent high pressure and limited cloud cover suppressing typical rainy season cooling. Thermometer data from calibrated surface stations provide the verifiable evidence, with real-time reports throughout the day peaking at 34°C around midday. Scenarios challenging this would require a rare post-hoc revision by NiMet due to sensor malfunction or data reconciliation, though such adjustments are infrequent after initial bulletins; final confirmation expected in NiMet's daily summary within 48 hours.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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