Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 72-73°F (34.5% implied probability) as the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport on April 17, closely trailed by 70-71°F (28%), reflecting National Weather Service guidance for a daytime high near 73°F under partly sunny skies amid persistent marine layer stratus. Recent observations through April 15 show a shallow 1,000-foot-deep marine layer from cool onshore flow and a weak temperature inversion, delaying coastal stratus burn-off and capping peak insolation to limit warming beyond mid-70s. GFS and ECMWF ensembles align on 71-74°F peaks, but model spread hinges on afternoon clearing speed—lingering clouds favor lower bins, early dissipation tilts toward 74-75°F. Evening updates from NOAA models and morning soundings could refine this narrow uncertainty before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 17?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 17?
72-73°F 35%
70-71°F 28%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 6.6%
$17,335 Vol.
$17,335 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
72-73°F 35%
70-71°F 28%
74-75°F 15%
68-69°F 6.6%
$17,335 Vol.
$17,335 Vol.
63°F or below
<1%
64-65°F
1%
66-67°F
2%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
28%
72-73°F
35%
74-75°F
15%
76-77°F
6%
78-79°F
4%
80-81°F
1%
82°F or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 15, 2026, 6:06 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus on Polymarket favors 72-73°F (34.5% implied probability) as the highest temperature at Los Angeles International Airport on April 17, closely trailed by 70-71°F (28%), reflecting National Weather Service guidance for a daytime high near 73°F under partly sunny skies amid persistent marine layer stratus. Recent observations through April 15 show a shallow 1,000-foot-deep marine layer from cool onshore flow and a weak temperature inversion, delaying coastal stratus burn-off and capping peak insolation to limit warming beyond mid-70s. GFS and ECMWF ensembles align on 71-74°F peaks, but model spread hinges on afternoon clearing speed—lingering clouds favor lower bins, early dissipation tilts toward 74-75°F. Evening updates from NOAA models and morning soundings could refine this narrow uncertainty before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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