Latest National Weather Service forecasts for downtown Los Angeles project a high near 75°F on April 18 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, anchoring trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability for 72°F or higher as the leading outcome. This positioning reflects a shift from early April's stormy pattern—featuring rain and cooler highs around 69°F on April 11—that suppressed temperatures amid troughing and onshore flow. Now, strengthening upper-level ridging promotes subsidence, clear conditions, and above-normal warmth, consistent with April climatology where downtown highs average 72°F. Ensemble models show low precipitation risk (under 10%), though marine layer persistence or timing could trim peaks to 70-71°F (10.5% odds). Watch NWS updates Saturday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
Highest temperature in Los Angeles on April 18?
72°F or higher 73%
70-71°F 11%
68-69°F 7%
66-67°F 4.3%
53°F or below
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
11%
72°F or higher
73%
72°F or higher 73%
70-71°F 11%
68-69°F 7%
66-67°F 4.3%
53°F or below
1%
54-55°F
1%
56-57°F
<1%
58-59°F
<1%
60-61°F
1%
62-63°F
1%
64-65°F
2%
66-67°F
4%
68-69°F
7%
70-71°F
11%
72°F or higher
73%
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Latest National Weather Service forecasts for downtown Los Angeles project a high near 75°F on April 18 under mostly sunny skies with light winds, anchoring trader consensus at 72.5% implied probability for 72°F or higher as the leading outcome. This positioning reflects a shift from early April's stormy pattern—featuring rain and cooler highs around 69°F on April 11—that suppressed temperatures amid troughing and onshore flow. Now, strengthening upper-level ridging promotes subsidence, clear conditions, and above-normal warmth, consistent with April climatology where downtown highs average 72°F. Ensemble models show low precipitation risk (under 10%), though marine layer persistence or timing could trim peaks to 70-71°F (10.5% odds). Watch NWS updates Saturday for refined guidance ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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