Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a high temperature of 72°F or higher at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on April 18, 2026, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance projecting 77–84°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Southern California. Overnight observations at KLAX peaked at 61°F under lingering marine layer clouds, but models anticipate rapid clearing and solar heating by mid-morning, with light offshore winds aiding inland warming—well above April's climatological average of 68°F. This positioning aligns with recent model consensus from NOAA ensembles showing minimal onshore flow. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly stubborn stratus decks or sudden cooling sea breezes delaying burn-off, though such scenarios are low-probability given current synoptic patterns; hourly NWS updates through afternoon will refine the outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 18 avril ?
La température la plus élevée à Los Angeles le 18 avril ?
72°F or higher 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$32,331 Vol.
$32,331 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
53°F or below
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68-69°F
No
70-71°F
No
72°F or higher
Yes
72°F or higher 100.0%
53°F or below <1%
54-55°F <1%
56-57°F <1%
$32,331 Vol.
$32,331 Vol.
18 avr. 2026
53°F or below
$1,595 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$1,446 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$781 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,211 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$3,172 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$2,761 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$2,057 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$3,426 Vol.
No
68-69°F
$3,146 Vol.
No
70-71°F
$3,816 Vol.
No
72°F or higher
$8,918 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a high temperature of 72°F or higher at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on April 18, 2026, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance projecting 77–84°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Southern California. Overnight observations at KLAX peaked at 61°F under lingering marine layer clouds, but models anticipate rapid clearing and solar heating by mid-morning, with light offshore winds aiding inland warming—well above April's climatological average of 68°F. This positioning aligns with recent model consensus from NOAA ensembles showing minimal onshore flow. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly stubborn stratus decks or sudden cooling sea breezes delaying burn-off, though such scenarios are low-probability given current synoptic patterns; hourly NWS updates through afternoon will refine the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ET
Volume
$32,331Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a high temperature of 72°F or higher at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on April 18, 2026, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance projecting 77–84°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Southern California. Overnight observations at KLAX peaked at 61°F under lingering marine layer clouds, but models anticipate rapid clearing and solar heating by mid-morning, with light offshore winds aiding inland warming—well above April's climatological average of 68°F. This positioning aligns with recent model consensus from NOAA ensembles showing minimal onshore flow. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly stubborn stratus decks or sudden cooling sea breezes delaying burn-off, though such scenarios are low-probability given current synoptic patterns; hourly NWS updates through afternoon will refine the outlook.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Los Angeles International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 18 Apr '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Los Angeles International Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$32,331Date de fin
18 avr. 2026Marché ouvert
Apr 16, 2026, 1:32 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/los-angeles/KLAXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket reflects near-certainty (100%) for a high temperature of 72°F or higher at Los Angeles International Airport (LAX) on April 18, 2026, driven by National Weather Service (NWS) forecast guidance projecting 77–84°F amid a persistent high-pressure ridge over Southern California. Overnight observations at KLAX peaked at 61°F under lingering marine layer clouds, but models anticipate rapid clearing and solar heating by mid-morning, with light offshore winds aiding inland warming—well above April's climatological average of 68°F. This positioning aligns with recent model consensus from NOAA ensembles showing minimal onshore flow. Realistic challenges include unexpectedly stubborn stratus decks or sudden cooling sea breezes delaying burn-off, though such scenarios are low-probability given current synoptic patterns; hourly NWS updates through afternoon will refine the outlook.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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