India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 12 reached 37.1°C at the airport station—a 2.7°C departure below normal—under clear skies with possible afternoon thundery development, aligning with the prior day's 36.3°C low. This cooler-than-typical May pattern, influenced by recent above-normal rainfall and convective activity, has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 38°C or below, reflecting verified measurements from the authoritative IMD as ground truth for market resolution. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from an alternative station or measurement error, improbable given consistent mid-afternoon readings around 34–37°C and declining solar angles late in the day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Lucknow on May 12?
Highest temperature in Lucknow on May 12?
38°C or below 100.0%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
41°C <1%
$29,431 Vol.
$29,431 Vol.
12 mai 2026
38°C or below
Yes
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C
No
42°C
No
43°C
No
44°C
No
45°C
No
46°C
No
47°C
No
48°C or higher
No
38°C or below 100.0%
39°C <1%
40°C <1%
41°C <1%
$29,431 Vol.
$29,431 Vol.
12 mai 2026
38°C or below
$4,566 Vol.
Yes
39°C
$6,404 Vol.
No
40°C
$4,192 Vol.
No
41°C
$1,622 Vol.
No
42°C
$1,434 Vol.
No
43°C
$2,615 Vol.
No
44°C
$1,460 Vol.
No
45°C
$1,246 Vol.
No
46°C
$1,459 Vol.
No
47°C
$1,589 Vol.
No
48°C or higher
$2,844 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 12 reached 37.1°C at the airport station—a 2.7°C departure below normal—under clear skies with possible afternoon thundery development, aligning with the prior day's 36.3°C low. This cooler-than-typical May pattern, influenced by recent above-normal rainfall and convective activity, has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 38°C or below, reflecting verified measurements from the authoritative IMD as ground truth for market resolution. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from an alternative station or measurement error, improbable given consistent mid-afternoon readings around 34–37°C and declining solar angles late in the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 10, 2026, 12:53 AM ET
Volume
$29,431Date de fin
12 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 10, 2026, 12:53 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 12 reached 37.1°C at the airport station—a 2.7°C departure below normal—under clear skies with possible afternoon thundery development, aligning with the prior day's 36.3°C low. This cooler-than-typical May pattern, influenced by recent above-normal rainfall and convective activity, has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 38°C or below, reflecting verified measurements from the authoritative IMD as ground truth for market resolution. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from an alternative station or measurement error, improbable given consistent mid-afternoon readings around 34–37°C and declining solar angles late in the day.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Chaudhary Charan Singh Intl Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILK.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$29,431Date de fin
12 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 10, 2026, 12:53 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/in/lucknow/VILKResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Yes
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Yes
India Meteorological Department observations confirm Lucknow's maximum temperature on May 12 reached 37.1°C at the airport station—a 2.7°C departure below normal—under clear skies with possible afternoon thundery development, aligning with the prior day's 36.3°C low. This cooler-than-typical May pattern, influenced by recent above-normal rainfall and convective activity, has driven trader consensus to a 100% implied probability for 38°C or below, reflecting verified measurements from the authoritative IMD as ground truth for market resolution. While final data validation is pending, a realistic challenge would require a rare upward revision from an alternative station or measurement error, improbable given consistent mid-afternoon readings around 34–37°C and declining solar angles late in the day.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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