Mexico City's July climate features a peak rainy season driven by the North American monsoon, producing frequent afternoon convective showers and cloud cover that typically cap daily highs near the 23°C seasonal average. Recent forecasts indicate highs for July 6 clustered between 22°C and 25°C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly grouped because small differences in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or insolation can easily shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Official monitoring from Mexico's meteorological service and historical analogs confirm this narrow range as the most common outcome, while lower odds for 26°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear, dry conditions suppressing convection on this date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Mexico le 6 juillet ?
La température la plus élevée à Mexico le 6 juillet ?
24°C 100.0%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$44,401 Vol.
$44,401 Vol.
6 juil. 2026
17°C ou moins
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Non
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Oui
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C ou plus
Non
24°C 100.0%
17°C ou moins <1%
18°C <1%
19°C <1%
$44,401 Vol.
$44,401 Vol.
6 juil. 2026
17°C ou moins
$2,235 Vol.
Non
18°C
$1,526 Vol.
Non
19°C
$1,466 Vol.
Non
20°C
$2,562 Vol.
Non
21°C
$4,354 Vol.
Non
22°C
$6,071 Vol.
Non
23°C
$10,622 Vol.
Non
24°C
$5,045 Vol.
Oui
25°C
$3,359 Vol.
Non
26°C
$2,877 Vol.
Non
27°C ou plus
$4,283 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's July climate features a peak rainy season driven by the North American monsoon, producing frequent afternoon convective showers and cloud cover that typically cap daily highs near the 23°C seasonal average. Recent forecasts indicate highs for July 6 clustered between 22°C and 25°C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly grouped because small differences in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or insolation can easily shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Official monitoring from Mexico's meteorological service and historical analogs confirm this narrow range as the most common outcome, while lower odds for 26°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear, dry conditions suppressing convection on this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$44,401Date de fin
6 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's July climate features a peak rainy season driven by the North American monsoon, producing frequent afternoon convective showers and cloud cover that typically cap daily highs near the 23°C seasonal average. Recent forecasts indicate highs for July 6 clustered between 22°C and 25°C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly grouped because small differences in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or insolation can easily shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Official monitoring from Mexico's meteorological service and historical analogs confirm this narrow range as the most common outcome, while lower odds for 26°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear, dry conditions suppressing convection on this date.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$44,401Date de fin
6 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 4, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Mexico City's July climate features a peak rainy season driven by the North American monsoon, producing frequent afternoon convective showers and cloud cover that typically cap daily highs near the 23°C seasonal average. Recent forecasts indicate highs for July 6 clustered between 22°C and 25°C, with trader-implied probabilities tightly grouped because small differences in rainfall timing, cloud thickness, or insolation can easily shift the maximum by 1–2°C. Official monitoring from Mexico's meteorological service and historical analogs confirm this narrow range as the most common outcome, while lower odds for 26°C+ reflect the low likelihood of clear, dry conditions suppressing convection on this date.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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