Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Munich on July 9 most likely peaking at 27–28°C under partly cloudy conditions and modest southerly advection. This narrow spread explains the tight market split between those two leading outcomes, as small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without strong synoptic forcing. Limited model divergence and stable short-range runs over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities clustered, with any late adjustments in frontal timing or insolation the main variables that could alter the final recorded maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Munich on July 9?
Highest temperature in Munich on July 9?
28°C 33%
27°C 31%
26°C 20%
25°C 7.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 juil. 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
8%
26°C
20%
27°C
31%
28°C
33%
29°C
7%
30°C
1%
31°C
1%
32°C
<1%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 33%
27°C 31%
26°C 20%
25°C 7.8%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
9 juil. 2026
23°C or below
$98 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$138 Vol.
1%
25°C
$235 Vol.
8%
26°C
$274 Vol.
20%
27°C
$605 Vol.
31%
28°C
$722 Vol.
33%
29°C
$2,095 Vol.
7%
30°C
$220 Vol.
1%
31°C
$98 Vol.
1%
32°C
$108 Vol.
<1%
33°C or higher
$430 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Munich on July 9 most likely peaking at 27–28°C under partly cloudy conditions and modest southerly advection. This narrow spread explains the tight market split between those two leading outcomes, as small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without strong synoptic forcing. Limited model divergence and stable short-range runs over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities clustered, with any late adjustments in frontal timing or insolation the main variables that could alter the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ET
Volume
$5,023Date de fin
9 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Munich on July 9 most likely peaking at 27–28°C under partly cloudy conditions and modest southerly advection. This narrow spread explains the tight market split between those two leading outcomes, as small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without strong synoptic forcing. Limited model divergence and stable short-range runs over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities clustered, with any late adjustments in frontal timing or insolation the main variables that could alter the final recorded maximum.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 9 Jul '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,023Date de fin
9 juil. 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 7, 2026, 12:02 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent ensemble forecasts from the ECMWF and GFS models show maximum temperatures in Munich on July 9 most likely peaking at 27–28°C under partly cloudy conditions and modest southerly advection. This narrow spread explains the tight market split between those two leading outcomes, as small differences in predicted cloud cover, boundary-layer mixing, and urban heat retention can shift the daily high by 1°C. Historical July climatology for the region centers near 24–26°C, so current guidance reflects a modest positive anomaly without strong synoptic forcing. Limited model divergence and stable short-range runs over the past 48 hours have kept probabilities clustered, with any late adjustments in frontal timing or insolation the main variables that could alter the final recorded maximum.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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