Current ensemble forecasts from multiple models position Munich's September 20 maximum near 24°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, supporting the market's leading 24°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability. Milder Atlantic air advection combined with a transient high-pressure ridge favors modest daytime warming above the 19°C historical average high, while limited insolation and seasonal solar angles cap upside risk. Recent model runs show tight clustering between 23–25°C, aligning with the combined 86% probability on those bins, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final observed high before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Munich le 20 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Munich le 20 septembre ?
24°C 53%
23°C 26%
25°C 19%
26°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
2%
19°C
2%
20°C
3%
21°C
7%
22°C
9%
23°C
26%
24°C
53%
25°C
19%
26°C
18%
27°C
3%
28°C ou plus
2%
24°C 53%
23°C 26%
25°C 19%
26°C 18%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
20 sept. 2026
18°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
2%
19°C
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$0 Vol.
3%
21°C
$0 Vol.
7%
22°C
$0 Vol.
9%
23°C
$0 Vol.
26%
24°C
$2,081 Vol.
53%
25°C
$126 Vol.
19%
26°C
$0 Vol.
18%
27°C
$0 Vol.
3%
28°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from multiple models position Munich's September 20 maximum near 24°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, supporting the market's leading 24°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability. Milder Atlantic air advection combined with a transient high-pressure ridge favors modest daytime warming above the 19°C historical average high, while limited insolation and seasonal solar angles cap upside risk. Recent model runs show tight clustering between 23–25°C, aligning with the combined 86% probability on those bins, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final observed high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$2,206Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current ensemble forecasts from multiple models position Munich's September 20 maximum near 24°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, supporting the market's leading 24°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability. Milder Atlantic air advection combined with a transient high-pressure ridge favors modest daytime warming above the 19°C historical average high, while limited insolation and seasonal solar angles cap upside risk. Recent model runs show tight clustering between 23–25°C, aligning with the combined 86% probability on those bins, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final observed high before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 20 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,206Date de fin
20 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 18, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Current ensemble forecasts from multiple models position Munich's September 20 maximum near 24°C under partly cloudy skies and light westerly flow, supporting the market's leading 24°C outcome at 39.5% implied probability. Milder Atlantic air advection combined with a transient high-pressure ridge favors modest daytime warming above the 19°C historical average high, while limited insolation and seasonal solar angles cap upside risk. Recent model runs show tight clustering between 23–25°C, aligning with the combined 86% probability on those bins, though minor shifts in cloud cover or wind could adjust the final observed high before resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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