Trader consensus in this market centers on 32–33°C as the most probable daily maximum for Panama City, Panama, on August 1, reflecting short-range model guidance and recent observations that place the outcome near or slightly above the long-term August climatological average of 29–31°C. Daily highs in this tropical location exhibit modest variability driven by cloud cover, convective activity during the rainy season, and local steering patterns, with ensemble forecasts showing only limited spread around these values. The ongoing strengthening El Niño, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, adds a modest warming influence through altered regional circulation, though day-to-day fluctuations in humidity and precipitation remain the dominant near-term variables. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Panama City le 1er août ?
La température la plus élevée à Panama City le 1er août ?
33°C 42%
32°C 37%
31°C 14%
30°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 août 2026
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
7%
31°C
14%
32°C
37%
33°C
42%
34°C
6%
35°C
3%
36°C ou plus
1%
33°C 42%
32°C 37%
31°C 14%
30°C 7%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
1 août 2026
26°C ou moins
$179 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$64 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$20 Vol.
1%
29°C
$117 Vol.
3%
30°C
$25 Vol.
7%
31°C
$107 Vol.
14%
32°C
$156 Vol.
37%
33°C
$69 Vol.
42%
34°C
$33 Vol.
6%
35°C
$32 Vol.
3%
36°C ou plus
$10 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this market centers on 32–33°C as the most probable daily maximum for Panama City, Panama, on August 1, reflecting short-range model guidance and recent observations that place the outcome near or slightly above the long-term August climatological average of 29–31°C. Daily highs in this tropical location exhibit modest variability driven by cloud cover, convective activity during the rainy season, and local steering patterns, with ensemble forecasts showing only limited spread around these values. The ongoing strengthening El Niño, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, adds a modest warming influence through altered regional circulation, though day-to-day fluctuations in humidity and precipitation remain the dominant near-term variables. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$811Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader consensus in this market centers on 32–33°C as the most probable daily maximum for Panama City, Panama, on August 1, reflecting short-range model guidance and recent observations that place the outcome near or slightly above the long-term August climatological average of 29–31°C. Daily highs in this tropical location exhibit modest variability driven by cloud cover, convective activity during the rainy season, and local steering patterns, with ensemble forecasts showing only limited spread around these values. The ongoing strengthening El Niño, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, adds a modest warming influence through altered regional circulation, though day-to-day fluctuations in humidity and precipitation remain the dominant near-term variables. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 1 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Marcos A. Gelabert Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$811Date de fin
1 août 2026Marché ouvert
Jul 30, 2026, 9:03 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pa/panama-city/MPMGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus in this market centers on 32–33°C as the most probable daily maximum for Panama City, Panama, on August 1, reflecting short-range model guidance and recent observations that place the outcome near or slightly above the long-term August climatological average of 29–31°C. Daily highs in this tropical location exhibit modest variability driven by cloud cover, convective activity during the rainy season, and local steering patterns, with ensemble forecasts showing only limited spread around these values. The ongoing strengthening El Niño, with Niño-3.4 anomalies exceeding +1.5°C, adds a modest warming influence through altered regional circulation, though day-to-day fluctuations in humidity and precipitation remain the dominant near-term variables. Updated model runs and observational data over the next 24 hours will likely refine these implied probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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