Trader consensus has locked in 16°C as the highest temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 12, backed by Météo-France observations showing a midday peak of 16°C under persistent overcast skies and light rain from a blocking low-pressure system driving northerly airflow. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts over the past 24 hours converge on 15-16°C maxima, well below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C, with current readings at 13°C amid cloudy conditions limiting solar heating. While unexpected cloud breaks could enable brief spikes to 17°C via enhanced insolation, model agreement and diurnal patterns make this improbable; end-of-day observations from the official station will finalize resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on May 12?
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$133,031 Vol.
$133,031 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
16°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$133,031 Vol.
$133,031 Vol.
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
Yes
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 10, 2026, 12:09 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Trader consensus has locked in 16°C as the highest temperature at Paris-Le Bourget Airport on May 12, backed by Météo-France observations showing a midday peak of 16°C under persistent overcast skies and light rain from a blocking low-pressure system driving northerly airflow. Recent ECMWF and GFS ensemble forecasts over the past 24 hours converge on 15-16°C maxima, well below the mid-May climatological average of 19°C, with current readings at 13°C amid cloudy conditions limiting solar heating. While unexpected cloud breaks could enable brief spikes to 17°C via enhanced insolation, model agreement and diurnal patterns make this improbable; end-of-day observations from the official station will finalize resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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