Current forecasts from European meteorological models, including those issued by Météo-France, point to a maximum temperature of 24°C in Paris today under the influence of a strengthening high-pressure system that has suppressed cloud cover and limited daytime heating. This aligns with observed morning readings near 13–14°C and steady afternoon warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology for late May in the Paris region places typical daily maxima between 18°C and 22°C, so the present setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by clear skies and light winds. Market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus, though an unexpected late-day surge in insolation or a model revision could still push readings to 25°C or higher before official verification closes the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in Paris on May 21?
Highest temperature in Paris on May 21?
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$83,954 Vol.
$83,954 Vol.
21 mai 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
Yes
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
24°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
$83,954 Vol.
$83,954 Vol.
21 mai 2026
18°C or below
$2,603 Vol.
No
19°C
$2,712 Vol.
No
20°C
$4,494 Vol.
No
21°C
$4,231 Vol.
No
22°C
$6,562 Vol.
No
23°C
$18,592 Vol.
No
24°C
$12,340 Vol.
Yes
25°C
$14,239 Vol.
No
26°C
$9,954 Vol.
No
27°C
$4,682 Vol.
No
28°C or higher
$3,546 Vol.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from European meteorological models, including those issued by Météo-France, point to a maximum temperature of 24°C in Paris today under the influence of a strengthening high-pressure system that has suppressed cloud cover and limited daytime heating. This aligns with observed morning readings near 13–14°C and steady afternoon warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology for late May in the Paris region places typical daily maxima between 18°C and 22°C, so the present setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by clear skies and light winds. Market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus, though an unexpected late-day surge in insolation or a model revision could still push readings to 25°C or higher before official verification closes the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Marché ouvert : May 19, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$83,954Date de fin
21 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 19, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Current forecasts from European meteorological models, including those issued by Météo-France, point to a maximum temperature of 24°C in Paris today under the influence of a strengthening high-pressure system that has suppressed cloud cover and limited daytime heating. This aligns with observed morning readings near 13–14°C and steady afternoon warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology for late May in the Paris region places typical daily maxima between 18°C and 22°C, so the present setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by clear skies and light winds. Market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus, though an unexpected late-day surge in insolation or a model revision could still push readings to 25°C or higher before official verification closes the market.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 21 May '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$83,954Date de fin
21 mai 2026Marché ouvert
May 19, 2026, 1:04 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
Current forecasts from European meteorological models, including those issued by Météo-France, point to a maximum temperature of 24°C in Paris today under the influence of a strengthening high-pressure system that has suppressed cloud cover and limited daytime heating. This aligns with observed morning readings near 13–14°C and steady afternoon warming without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical climatology for late May in the Paris region places typical daily maxima between 18°C and 22°C, so the present setup represents a modest positive anomaly driven by clear skies and light winds. Market-implied odds reflect this tight consensus, though an unexpected late-day surge in insolation or a model revision could still push readings to 25°C or higher before official verification closes the market.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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