National Weather Service observations confirm that San Francisco's maximum temperature on June 1 reached at least 68°F, driving the market-implied probability for this outcome to 100%. This result aligns with early-June climatology at downtown stations, where average highs typically fall in the mid- to upper 60s, and reflects specific atmospheric conditions including a shallow marine layer and modest offshore flow that limited Pacific cooling. Ensemble model guidance had projected 68–71°F under these patterns. Resolution depends strictly on the official daily climatological report, so revisions to station data or measurement methodology remain the only realistic factors that could alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourHighest temperature in San Francisco on June 1?
Highest temperature in San Francisco on June 1?
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$27,075 Vol.
$27,075 Vol.
1 juin 2026
49°F or below
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
No
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F or higher
Yes
68°F or higher 100.0%
49°F or below <1%
50-51°F <1%
52-53°F <1%
$27,075 Vol.
$27,075 Vol.
1 juin 2026
49°F or below
$316 Vol.
No
50-51°F
$540 Vol.
No
52-53°F
$612 Vol.
No
54-55°F
$602 Vol.
No
56-57°F
$586 Vol.
No
58-59°F
$1,923 Vol.
No
60-61°F
$2,037 Vol.
No
62-63°F
$1,641 Vol.
No
64-65°F
$1,842 Vol.
No
66-67°F
$4,688 Vol.
No
68°F or higher
$12,287 Vol.
Yes
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations confirm that San Francisco's maximum temperature on June 1 reached at least 68°F, driving the market-implied probability for this outcome to 100%. This result aligns with early-June climatology at downtown stations, where average highs typically fall in the mid- to upper 60s, and reflects specific atmospheric conditions including a shallow marine layer and modest offshore flow that limited Pacific cooling. Ensemble model guidance had projected 68–71°F under these patterns. Resolution depends strictly on the official daily climatological report, so revisions to station data or measurement methodology remain the only realistic factors that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : May 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ET
Volume
$27,075Date de fin
1 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service observations confirm that San Francisco's maximum temperature on June 1 reached at least 68°F, driving the market-implied probability for this outcome to 100%. This result aligns with early-June climatology at downtown stations, where average highs typically fall in the mid- to upper 60s, and reflects specific atmospheric conditions including a shallow marine layer and modest offshore flow that limited Pacific cooling. Ensemble model guidance had projected 68–71°F under these patterns. Resolution depends strictly on the official daily climatological report, so revisions to station data or measurement methodology remain the only realistic factors that could alter the outcome.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 1 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,075Date de fin
1 juin 2026Marché ouvert
May 30, 2026, 12:20 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: No
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: No
National Weather Service observations confirm that San Francisco's maximum temperature on June 1 reached at least 68°F, driving the market-implied probability for this outcome to 100%. This result aligns with early-June climatology at downtown stations, where average highs typically fall in the mid- to upper 60s, and reflects specific atmospheric conditions including a shallow marine layer and modest offshore flow that limited Pacific cooling. Ensemble model guidance had projected 68–71°F under these patterns. Resolution depends strictly on the official daily climatological report, so revisions to station data or measurement methodology remain the only realistic factors that could alter the outcome.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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