Trader consensus clusters tightly around 66–71°F for San Francisco’s official high on June 22 because short-range models and National Weather Service guidance show persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer capping daytime warming near the coast. This classic June pattern—stratus and fog burning off by midday—typically limits peaks to the mid-to-upper 60s at the KSFO station, with slight variations depending on the depth of the inversion and exact wind direction. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the near-even probabilities across those three brackets, while warmer outcomes above 72°F require a stronger offshore component that current guidance does not indicate. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before the daily maximum is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à San Francisco le 22 juin ?
66-67 °F 100.0%
61°F ou moins <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$45,896 Vol.
$45,896 Vol.
61°F ou moins
Non
62-63°F
Non
64-65°F
Non
66-67 °F
Oui
68-69°F
Non
21-22°C
Non
72-73°F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77°F
Non
78-79 °F
Non
80°F ou plus
Non
66-67 °F 100.0%
61°F ou moins <1%
62-63°F <1%
64-65°F <1%
$45,896 Vol.
$45,896 Vol.
61°F ou moins
Non
62-63°F
Non
64-65°F
Non
66-67 °F
Oui
68-69°F
Non
21-22°C
Non
72-73°F
Non
74-75°F
Non
76-77°F
Non
78-79 °F
Non
80°F ou plus
Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 20, 2026, 9:06 PM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
Trader consensus clusters tightly around 66–71°F for San Francisco’s official high on June 22 because short-range models and National Weather Service guidance show persistent onshore flow and a shallow marine layer capping daytime warming near the coast. This classic June pattern—stratus and fog burning off by midday—typically limits peaks to the mid-to-upper 60s at the KSFO station, with slight variations depending on the depth of the inversion and exact wind direction. Ensemble spreads remain modest, supporting the near-even probabilities across those three brackets, while warmer outcomes above 72°F require a stronger offshore component that current guidance does not indicate. Updated model runs tomorrow morning will refine the final range before the daily maximum is recorded.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour


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