The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability on 21°C reflects trader confidence in official INMET observations confirming that exact daily maximum for São Paulo on June 12. A cold frontal passage moving through southern Brazil on June 11–12 suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, with model consensus from CPTEC and global ensembles forecasting a high near 21°C amid moderate southerly flow and limited insolation. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for mid-June, when frontal systems often cap highs in the low-20s Celsius range. Only revised station data or measurement discrepancies could alter resolution, scenarios traders currently price as negligible.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 12 juin ?
La température la plus élevée à Sao Paulo le 12 juin ?
21°C 100.0%
16°C ou moins <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$61,748 Vol.
$61,748 Vol.
12 juin 2026
16°C ou moins
Non
17°C
Non
18°C
Non
19°C
Non
20°C
Non
21°C
Oui
22°C
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C ou plus
Non
21°C 100.0%
16°C ou moins <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$61,748 Vol.
$61,748 Vol.
12 juin 2026
16°C ou moins
$1,333 Vol.
Non
17°C
$2,892 Vol.
Non
18°C
$3,892 Vol.
Non
19°C
$6,223 Vol.
Non
20°C
$28,133 Vol.
Non
21°C
$8,313 Vol.
Oui
22°C
$3,586 Vol.
Non
23°C
$1,645 Vol.
Non
24°C
$2,005 Vol.
Non
25°C
$3,211 Vol.
Non
26°C ou plus
$513 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability on 21°C reflects trader confidence in official INMET observations confirming that exact daily maximum for São Paulo on June 12. A cold frontal passage moving through southern Brazil on June 11–12 suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, with model consensus from CPTEC and global ensembles forecasting a high near 21°C amid moderate southerly flow and limited insolation. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for mid-June, when frontal systems often cap highs in the low-20s Celsius range. Only revised station data or measurement discrepancies could alter resolution, scenarios traders currently price as negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$61,748Date de fin
12 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability on 21°C reflects trader confidence in official INMET observations confirming that exact daily maximum for São Paulo on June 12. A cold frontal passage moving through southern Brazil on June 11–12 suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, with model consensus from CPTEC and global ensembles forecasting a high near 21°C amid moderate southerly flow and limited insolation. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for mid-June, when frontal systems often cap highs in the low-20s Celsius range. Only revised station data or measurement discrepancies could alter resolution, scenarios traders currently price as negligible.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$61,748Date de fin
12 juin 2026Marché ouvert
Jun 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETSource de résolution
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
The market's overwhelming 99.9% implied probability on 21°C reflects trader confidence in official INMET observations confirming that exact daily maximum for São Paulo on June 12. A cold frontal passage moving through southern Brazil on June 11–12 suppressed temperatures below seasonal averages, with model consensus from CPTEC and global ensembles forecasting a high near 21°C amid moderate southerly flow and limited insolation. This outcome aligns with climatological patterns for mid-June, when frontal systems often cap highs in the low-20s Celsius range. Only revised station data or measurement discrepancies could alter resolution, scenarios traders currently price as negligible.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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