Recent forecast models indicate a high likelihood of showers and thunderstorms developing over Shanghai on September 26, driven by a shift to northerly flow and increased moisture, which is expected to limit peak temperatures through enhanced cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Consensus guidance from global and regional models places the daily maximum near 31–32 °C, though timing and intensity of precipitation introduce uncertainty that could keep readings closer to 29–30 °C if storms arrive earlier or prove heavier. This setup contrasts with the clearer, warmer conditions forecast for September 25. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points for refining these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 26 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Shanghai le 26 septembre ?
29°C 32%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
31°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
20%
28°C
15%
29°C
32%
30°C
24%
31°C
21%
32°C
21%
33°C
18%
34°C
2%
35°C
1%
36°C
<1%
37°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 32%
30°C 24%
32°C 21%
31°C 21%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 sept. 2026
27°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
20%
28°C
$107 Vol.
15%
29°C
$169 Vol.
32%
30°C
$0 Vol.
24%
31°C
$15 Vol.
21%
32°C
$0 Vol.
21%
33°C
$0 Vol.
18%
34°C
$207 Vol.
2%
35°C
$0 Vol.
1%
36°C
$95 Vol.
<1%
37°C ou plus
$95 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate a high likelihood of showers and thunderstorms developing over Shanghai on September 26, driven by a shift to northerly flow and increased moisture, which is expected to limit peak temperatures through enhanced cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Consensus guidance from global and regional models places the daily maximum near 31–32 °C, though timing and intensity of precipitation introduce uncertainty that could keep readings closer to 29–30 °C if storms arrive earlier or prove heavier. This setup contrasts with the clearer, warmer conditions forecast for September 25. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points for refining these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Volume
$689Date de fin
26 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast models indicate a high likelihood of showers and thunderstorms developing over Shanghai on September 26, driven by a shift to northerly flow and increased moisture, which is expected to limit peak temperatures through enhanced cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Consensus guidance from global and regional models places the daily maximum near 31–32 °C, though timing and intensity of precipitation introduce uncertainty that could keep readings closer to 29–30 °C if storms arrive earlier or prove heavier. This setup contrasts with the clearer, warmer conditions forecast for September 25. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points for refining these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspd
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$689Date de fin
26 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 24, 2026, 12:57 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zspdRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecast models indicate a high likelihood of showers and thunderstorms developing over Shanghai on September 26, driven by a shift to northerly flow and increased moisture, which is expected to limit peak temperatures through enhanced cloud cover and evaporative cooling. Consensus guidance from global and regional models places the daily maximum near 31–32 °C, though timing and intensity of precipitation introduce uncertainty that could keep readings closer to 29–30 °C if storms arrive earlier or prove heavier. This setup contrasts with the clearer, warmer conditions forecast for September 25. Updated numerical weather prediction runs and official guidance from the China Meteorological Administration will provide the next key data points for refining these temperature thresholds ahead of market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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