Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 26 most likely between 27–29°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C and 29°C. Stable high-pressure conditions, northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and minimal cloud cover support typical late-September diurnal heating without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical averages near 28°C and the absence of anomalous patterns in recent ECMWF and regional runs reinforce trader consensus around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 30°C or below 27°C due to limited forecast spread and no expected intensification factors. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data points before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Tel Aviv le 26 septembre ?
29°C 59%
28°C 22%
30°C 22%
27°C 17%
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
17%
28°C
22%
29°C
59%
30°C
22%
31°C
6%
32°C
15%
33°C
14%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C ou plus
<1%
29°C 59%
28°C 22%
30°C 22%
27°C 17%
26°C ou moins
<1%
27°C
17%
28°C
22%
29°C
59%
30°C
22%
31°C
6%
32°C
15%
33°C
14%
34°C
4%
35°C
2%
36°C ou plus
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Résolveur
0x69c47de9d...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Résolveur
0x69c47de9d...Recent forecasts from multiple models indicate a maximum temperature in Tel Aviv on September 26 most likely between 27–29°C, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 28°C and 29°C. Stable high-pressure conditions, northwest winds of 5–10 mph, and minimal cloud cover support typical late-September diurnal heating without significant advection of warmer air masses. Historical averages near 28°C and the absence of anomalous patterns in recent ECMWF and regional runs reinforce trader consensus around these values, with lower probabilities assigned to outliers like 30°C or below 27°C due to limited forecast spread and no expected intensification factors. Updated model runs in the next 24–48 hours will provide the next key data points before market resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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