**Current forecast consensus from MetService, Yr, and other models positions a maximum of 15°C as the most likely outcome for Wellington on September 26, 2026, aligning with the 63% market-implied probability.** Northerly to northwesterly winds under a high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea are expected to moderate spring conditions, with partly cloudy skies and only limited shower chances keeping daytime peaks in the 14–15°C range. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, reflecting typical September variability near the climatological average high of about 15°C. Minor model spreads allow for 14°C or 16°C possibilities, supporting their secondary probabilities, while the low odds on extremes reflect the absence of strong warm or cold advection in the short-range outlook. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Wellington le 26 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Wellington le 26 septembre ?
15°C 63%
14°C 23%
16°C 21%
17°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
<1%
10°C
1%
11°C
3%
12°C
12%
13°C
11%
14°C
23%
15°C
63%
16°C
21%
17°C
15%
18°C
13%
19°C ou plus
<1%
15°C 63%
14°C 23%
16°C 21%
17°C 15%
NOUVEAU
NOUVEAU
26 sept. 2026
9°C ou moins
$0 Vol.
<1%
10°C
$0 Vol.
1%
11°C
$0 Vol.
3%
12°C
$5 Vol.
12%
13°C
$0 Vol.
11%
14°C
$0 Vol.
23%
15°C
$204 Vol.
63%
16°C
$10 Vol.
21%
17°C
$0 Vol.
15%
18°C
$0 Vol.
13%
19°C ou plus
$0 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from MetService, Yr, and other models positions a maximum of 15°C as the most likely outcome for Wellington on September 26, 2026, aligning with the 63% market-implied probability.**
Northerly to northwesterly winds under a high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea are expected to moderate spring conditions, with partly cloudy skies and only limited shower chances keeping daytime peaks in the 14–15°C range. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, reflecting typical September variability near the climatological average high of about 15°C. Minor model spreads allow for 14°C or 16°C possibilities, supporting their secondary probabilities, while the low odds on extremes reflect the absence of strong warm or cold advection in the short-range outlook. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$220Date de fin
26 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Current forecast consensus from MetService, Yr, and other models positions a maximum of 15°C as the most likely outcome for Wellington on September 26, 2026, aligning with the 63% market-implied probability.**
Northerly to northwesterly winds under a high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea are expected to moderate spring conditions, with partly cloudy skies and only limited shower chances keeping daytime peaks in the 14–15°C range. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, reflecting typical September variability near the climatological average high of about 15°C. Minor model spreads allow for 14°C or 16°C possibilities, supporting their secondary probabilities, while the low odds on extremes reflect the absence of strong warm or cold advection in the short-range outlook. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 26 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$220Date de fin
26 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 24, 2026, 12:56 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...**Current forecast consensus from MetService, Yr, and other models positions a maximum of 15°C as the most likely outcome for Wellington on September 26, 2026, aligning with the 63% market-implied probability.** Northerly to northwesterly winds under a high-pressure ridge over the Tasman Sea are expected to moderate spring conditions, with partly cloudy skies and only limited shower chances keeping daytime peaks in the 14–15°C range. Ensemble guidance shows tight clustering around these values, reflecting typical September variability near the climatological average high of about 15°C. Minor model spreads allow for 14°C or 16°C possibilities, supporting their secondary probabilities, while the low odds on extremes reflect the absence of strong warm or cold advection in the short-range outlook. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours remain the key catalysts that could shift trader positioning ahead of resolution.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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