Recent official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum in Zhengzhou on August 30 clustering near 29–31 °C, driving the tight market distribution between those outcomes. Northerly flow has advected cooler, drier air into the region after late-August warmth, while increasing cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation and limits afternoon heating compared with clearer prior days. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with minimal precipitation expected to further moderate temperatures, though small shifts in timing or coverage of cloud could tip the recorded high by 1 °C. Traders are therefore pricing the high probability of a near-normal late-summer maximum rather than an extreme.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 30 août ?
29°C 32%
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
27°C 18%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
18%
29°C
32%
30°C
31%
31°C
29%
32°C or higher
6%
29°C 32%
30°C 31%
31°C 29%
27°C 18%
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
1%
25°C
1%
26°C
6%
27°C
18%
28°C
18%
29°C
32%
30°C
31%
31°C
29%
32°C or higher
6%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Aug 29, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Source de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the China Meteorological Administration and international models indicate a daily maximum in Zhengzhou on August 30 clustering near 29–31 °C, driving the tight market distribution between those outcomes. Northerly flow has advected cooler, drier air into the region after late-August warmth, while increasing cloud cover reduces incoming solar radiation and limits afternoon heating compared with clearer prior days. Ensemble guidance shows limited spread around these values, with minimal precipitation expected to further moderate temperatures, though small shifts in timing or coverage of cloud could tip the recorded high by 1 °C. Traders are therefore pricing the high probability of a near-normal late-summer maximum rather than an extreme.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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