**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions 30°C as the near-certain daily maximum for Zhengzhou on September 23.** Multiple runs, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, show afternoon peaks reaching 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 3–7 mph, and humidity near 45–60%, with no significant precipitation expected to suppress temperatures. This aligns with late-September climatology, where Zhengzhou averages highs of 26–29°C, and recent observational trends confirm surface conditions supporting this range. The 100% market-implied probability reflects strong agreement across authoritative sources that the official highest reading will resolve at 30°C. Only unexpected model revisions or station-specific measurement anomalies, such as a brief spike to 31°C or cooling below 30°C from localized cloud cover, could alter the outcome before final data release.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jourLa température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 23 septembre ?
La température la plus élevée à Zhengzhou le 23 septembre ?
30°C 100%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$5,805 Vol.
$5,805 Vol.
23 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
Non
23°C
Non
24°C
Non
25°C
Non
26°C
Non
27°C
Non
28°C
Non
29°C
Non
30°C
Oui
31°C
Non
32°C ou plus
Non
30°C 100%
22°C ou moins <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$5,805 Vol.
$5,805 Vol.
23 sept. 2026
22°C ou moins
$1,147 Vol.
Non
23°C
$865 Vol.
Non
24°C
$15 Vol.
Non
25°C
$361 Vol.
Non
26°C
$15 Vol.
Non
27°C
$66 Vol.
Non
28°C
$1,219 Vol.
Non
29°C
$276 Vol.
Non
30°C
$1,674 Vol.
Oui
31°C
$51 Vol.
Non
32°C ou plus
$117 Vol.
Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions 30°C as the near-certain daily maximum for Zhengzhou on September 23.** Multiple runs, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, show afternoon peaks reaching 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 3–7 mph, and humidity near 45–60%, with no significant precipitation expected to suppress temperatures. This aligns with late-September climatology, where Zhengzhou averages highs of 26–29°C, and recent observational trends confirm surface conditions supporting this range. The 100% market-implied probability reflects strong agreement across authoritative sources that the official highest reading will resolve at 30°C. Only unexpected model revisions or station-specific measurement anomalies, such as a brief spike to 31°C or cooling below 30°C from localized cloud cover, could alter the outcome before final data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Marché ouvert : Sep 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$5,805Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions 30°C as the near-certain daily maximum for Zhengzhou on September 23.** Multiple runs, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, show afternoon peaks reaching 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 3–7 mph, and humidity near 45–60%, with no significant precipitation expected to suppress temperatures. This aligns with late-September climatology, where Zhengzhou averages highs of 26–29°C, and recent observational trends confirm surface conditions supporting this range. The 100% market-implied probability reflects strong agreement across authoritative sources that the official highest reading will resolve at 30°C. Only unexpected model revisions or station-specific measurement anomalies, such as a brief spike to 31°C or cooling below 30°C from localized cloud cover, could alter the outcome before final data release.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Zhengzhou Xinzheng International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhcc
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,805Date de fin
23 sept. 2026Marché ouvert
Sep 22, 2026, 12:55 AM ETSource de résolution
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zhccRésolveur
0x69c47de9d...Résultat proposé: Non
Aucune contestation
Résultat final: Non
**Forecast consensus from numerical weather models positions 30°C as the near-certain daily maximum for Zhengzhou on September 23.** Multiple runs, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, show afternoon peaks reaching 30–31°C under mostly cloudy skies, southeasterly winds of 3–7 mph, and humidity near 45–60%, with no significant precipitation expected to suppress temperatures. This aligns with late-September climatology, where Zhengzhou averages highs of 26–29°C, and recent observational trends confirm surface conditions supporting this range. The 100% market-implied probability reflects strong agreement across authoritative sources that the official highest reading will resolve at 30°C. Only unexpected model revisions or station-specific measurement anomalies, such as a brief spike to 31°C or cooling below 30°C from localized cloud cover, could alter the outcome before final data release.
Résumé expérimental généré par IA à partir des données Polymarket. Ceci n'est pas un conseil de trading et ne joue aucun rôle dans la résolution de ce marché. · Mis à jour
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